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Strong Week for Veracyte (NASDAQ:VCYT) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Three-year Loss

Strong Week for Veracyte (NASDAQ:VCYT) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Three-year Loss

Veracyte (纳斯达克代码:VCYT) 股东的强劲周报告并未缓解三年亏损的痛苦。
Simply Wall St ·  06/22 09:06

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But if you try your hand at stock picking, you risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Veracyte, Inc. (NASDAQ:VCYT) shareholders, since the share price is down 46% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 20%. On the other hand the share price has bounced 7.5% over the last week.

作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平。但是,如果您试图挑选股票,您可能会冒着低于市场回报率的风险。不幸的是,长期持有Veracyte股票的股东们,自上三年以来,股价下跌了46%,远远低于市场回报率约20%。另一方面,该股股价在过去一周上涨了7.5%。

While the last three years has been tough for Veracyte shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去三年对Veracyte的股东们来说很艰难,但最近一周展现出了希望的迹象。因此,让我们看看更长期的基本面,并查看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

Given that Veracyte didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

由于Veracyte在过去12个月没有盈利,因此我们将重点关注营收增长,以便快速了解其业务发展情况。一般来说,预计未盈利的公司每年都会以良好的速度增长收入。这是因为快速增长的收入可以很容易地推断出运营利润,通常规模相当大。在过去三年中,Veracyte的收入复合每年增长了30%。这远高于大多数其他未盈利的公司。虽然其营收增长,但股价每年下跌了14%。这似乎对股东来说是一个不幸的结果。这可能是因为之前的股价对未来增长过于乐观。在考虑购买之前,投资者应考虑支出增长的速度与收入相比有多快。

In the last three years, Veracyte saw its revenue grow by 30% per year, compound. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. While its revenue increased, the share price dropped at a rate of 14% per year. That seems like an unlucky result for holders. It's possible that the prior share price assumed unrealistically high future growth. Before considering a purchase, investors should consider how quickly expenses are growing, relative to revenue.

在过去三年中,Veracyte公司的营收每年复合增长了30%。这远高于大多数其他未盈利公司。虽然收入增长了,但股价每年下跌14%的速度。对于持有者来说,这似乎是一种不幸的结果。以前的股价可能假设了不切实际的高未来增长。在考虑购买之前,投资者应考虑支出增长的速度与收入相比有多快。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:VCYT Earnings and Revenue Growth June 22nd 2024
纳斯达克VCYT的收益和营收增长2024年6月22日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Investors in Veracyte had a tough year, with a total loss of 12%, against a market gain of about 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Veracyte you should know about.

Veracyte的投资者度过了艰难的一年,总亏损达到12%,而市场的收益约为26%。即使好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但在过于关注之前,我们希望看到业务基本指标的改善。不幸的是,去年的业绩可能表明仍存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年的年化亏损4%更糟糕。一般来说,长期的股价疲软可能是一个不好的迹象,尽管持不同意见的投资者可能希望研究该股票以期实现逆转。虽然考虑市场条件可能对股价产生不同的影响很值得注意,但更重要的因素是考虑风险。每个公司都有其风险,我们已经发现了Veracyte的1个预警信号,你应该了解一下。

We will like Veracyte better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

我们会更喜欢Veracyte,如果我们看到一些重要的内部买入。在我们等待的同时,请查看这个免费的低估股票清单(主要是小市值股票),其中有相当多的最近的内部买入。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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