share_log

Is Fortive (NYSE:FTV) A Risky Investment?

Is Fortive (NYSE:FTV) A Risky Investment?

Fortive(纽交所:FTV)是一项有风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/24 06:31

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Fortive Corporation (NYSE:FTV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说,与其担心股票价格波动,不如担心“永久损失的可能性就是我所担心的风险…每个实践的投资者我知道都担心。”因此,聪明的钱似乎知道,债务——通常与破产有关——是评估公司风险时的一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到Fortive Corporation (NYSE:FTV)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但是这笔债务会让股东感到担忧吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业无法通过新的资本或自由现金流来偿还。资本主义的一部分是“创造性摧毁”过程,其中银行家无情地清算失败的企业。然而,一个更普遍的(但仍然昂贵的)情况是,企业必须用低廉的股价稀释股东权益,才能控制债务。当然,很多公司利用债务来资助增长,没有任何负面的后果。当我们考虑公司使用债务的情况时,我们首先看现金和债务的总和。

How Much Debt Does Fortive Carry?

Fortive的债务有多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Fortive had US$3.94b of debt, up from US$3.09b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$704.6m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.24b.

如您下方所示,截至2024年3月底,Fortive拥有39.4亿美元的债务,高于一年前的30.9亿美元。点击图片以获取更多细节。但是,由于它有7.046亿美元的现金储备,因此它的净债务较少,约为32.4亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:FTV Debt to Equity History June 24th 2024
NYSE:FTV资产负债历史记录截至2024年6月24日

How Healthy Is Fortive's Balance Sheet?

Fortive的资产负债表看起来如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Fortive had liabilities of US$1.74b due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.30b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$704.6m as well as receivables valued at US$1.14b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.19b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,Fortive有17.4亿美元的负债要在一年内到期,以及53亿美元的负债在此之后到期。抵消这些负债,它有7.046亿美元的现金以及1.14亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收款项的总和51.9亿美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Fortive has a huge market capitalization of US$25.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

虽然可能看起来很多,但由于Fortive拥有259亿美元的巨额市值,因此如果需要,它可能可以通过筹集资本来加强其资产负债表。然而,仍有必要仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

卡比海运的净债务为1.7倍EBITDA,这表明它很好地利用了债务。 同时,EBIT利息覆盖(7.3倍)也证明卡比海运的利润完全足以支付管理费和计息费。此外,卡比海运过去12个月EBIT增长了64%,这种增长将使其更容易处理其债务。通过财务报表,我们确信该公司对债务的运用是明智的。然而,确保公司未来的盈利能力才是最终关键,这将决定卡比海运能否逐渐加强其资产负债表。此外,自由现金流还将帮助我们检查公司的出现的任何偏离预期的现金流。

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.0, Fortive uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.3 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. We saw Fortive grow its EBIT by 9.3% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fortive can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

以2.0的债务/利润率来看,Fortive有条不紊的使用债务。令人向往的利息覆盖率(利润除以利息费用的8.3倍)当然没有任何不利因素。没有我们看到Fortive在过去12个月中EBIT增长了9.3%。这离令人难以置信还有很远,但是对于偿还债务来说是一件好事。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定Fortive能否随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中显示分析师的利润预测。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Fortive actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司无法用纸质利润支付债务;它需要冰冷的现金。因此,值得检查有多少EIBT是由自由现金流支持的。对于任何股东来说,令人高兴的是,过去三年,Fortive的自由现金流比EBIT更高。在保持与贷款人的良好关系方面,没有比流入现金更好的事情了。

Our View

我们的观点

Fortive's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And we also thought its interest cover was a positive. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Fortive is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Fortive insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

Fortive的EBIT转为自由现金流,表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo(葡萄牙足球运动员)轻松进球一样处理其债务。我们还认为其利息覆盖率是一个积极因素。当我们考虑以上因素的范围时,Fortive的使用债务看起来相当明智。这意味着他们正在承担更多的风险,以增加股东回报率。当然,如果我们知道Fortive内部人员一直在购买股票,那么我们也不会拒绝额外的信心:如果您与他们保持一致,您可以通过点击此链接查看内部人员是否正在购买股票。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发