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Investing in Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 66% Gain

Investing in Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 66% Gain

如果五年前投资于自动数据处理(纳斯达克:ADP),将获得66%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  06/24 09:04

If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) share price is up 49% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Over the last twelve months the stock price has risen a very respectable 15%.

如果您持有股票多年并希望获利,您将希望其上涨幅度超过市场平均水平。不幸的是,Automatic Data Processing公司(纳斯达克:ADP)股票价格在过去五年中上涨了49%,但这不足以超过市场回报。在过去的十二个月中,股价上涨了15%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在值得更详细地了解该公司的基本面,因为这将帮助我们判断长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:在短期内,市场是投票机,但在长期内,市场是称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格的时间变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度随时间而变化。

Over half a decade, Automatic Data Processing managed to grow its earnings per share at 15% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 8% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

在过去的五年中,Automatic Data Processing股票的每股收益增长率达到了15%。每年8%的股价涨幅相比,EPS的增长更为显著。因此,市场对该股票似乎不那么热情。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:ADP Earnings Per Share Growth June 24th 2024
NasdaqGS:ADP每股收益增长率为2024年6月24日。

We know that Automatic Data Processing has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

我们知道,Automatic Data Processing公司近期改善了其底线,但它是否将实现营收增长?您可以查看这份免费报告,其中包括分析师对营收的预测。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Automatic Data Processing, it has a TSR of 66% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报不同于股票价格回报仅反映了股票价格的变化,TSR包括股息价值(假设它们被再投资)和任何资本贴现募集或剥离的价值。在Automatic Data Processing公司的情况下,其TSR在过去5年中为66%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Automatic Data Processing shareholders gained a total return of 18% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 11% per year over five year. It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Automatic Data Processing scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

Automatic Data Processing股东今年的总回报率为18%。不幸的是,这仍不足以超过市场回报。好消息是,这个增益实际上比过去五年的平均年回报率11%要好。随着业务基础知识的提高,回报有可能会得到改善。在决定是否喜欢当前的股价之前,请检查Automatic Data Processing在这三个估值指标上的表现。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司-具有潜在更优质财务状况的公司-则不要错过这个免费的公司列表,这些公司已经证明他们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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