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China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings (SZSE:001979) Stock Falls 8.5% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings (SZSE:001979) Stock Falls 8.5% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

招商蛇口工业区控股(SZSE:001979)股票在过去一周下跌8.5%,五年的收益和股东回报持续下降趋势。
Simply Wall St ·  06/24 21:21

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001979), since the last five years saw the share price fall 56%. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 29% in the last year. Even worse, it's down 9.0% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 4.5% in the same time.

对于很多人来说,投资的主要目的是比整个市场获得更高的回报。但在任何组合中,个别股票之间的结果是不同的。目前,一些股东可能会质疑他们对招商蛇口的投资,因为过去五年内的股价下跌了56%。并且不仅是长期股东,因为该股去年下跌了29%。更糟糕的是,一个月前下跌了9%,这一点也不有乐趣。但这可能与市场条件不佳有关 - 在同一时间,股市下跌了4.5%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话,“船只会在世界各地航行,但扁平地球协会将空前盛行。市场上的价格和价值将继续存在巨大差异… ”检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

Looking back five years, both China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 14% per year. This change in EPS is remarkably close to the 15% average annual decrease in the share price. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

回顾五年,招商蛇口的股价和每股收益都下降了;后者的降幅为每年14%。这种EPS的变化与股价每年降低15%的平均值非常接近。这意味着市场对该股持有相当稳定的观点。股价几乎跟踪EPS的增长。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:001979 Earnings Per Share Growth June 25th 2024
SZSE:001979每股收益增长2024年6月25日

We know that China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

我们知道,招商蛇口最近改善了其底线,但它是否会增长营业收入?您可以查看此免费报告,显示分析师的营收预测。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings, it has a TSR of -47% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报TSR将股息再投资的假设价值合并了任何剥离或折价融资,以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR通常要比股票回报率高得多。就招商蛇口而言,它在过去的5年中的TSR为-47%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提高了其股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We regret to report that China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings shareholders are down 29% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

我们很遗憾地报告说,招商蛇口的股东今年下跌了29%(包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场下跌14%还要糟糕。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票被超卖是不可避免的。关键是关注基本面的发展。不幸的是,去年的表现为五年来每年面对8%的总损失划上了句号。我们意识到,巴隆·罗斯柴尔德曾说过投资者应当“在街上有血时买进”,但我们提醒投资者首先确保自己在买入高质量的企业。虽然考虑市场条件对股价可能产生的不同影响是完全值得的,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如:风险 - 我们认为,招商蛇口存在3个警告信号(其中1个相当重要)是您应该知道的。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您像我一样,就不会希望错过这份免费的内部人士正在购买的低估小市值股票列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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