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Cettire Shares Plummet After Surprise Downgrade Reveals Profit Issues

Cettire Shares Plummet After Surprise Downgrade Reveals Profit Issues

Cettire股价暴跌,意外降级揭示利润问题。
sharecafe ·  06/24 18:03

Shares in online luxury goods seller Cettire (ASX:CTT) fell sharply on Monday after the company surprised investors with a downgrade. Upon closer inspection, it was revealed that the company had been selling goods at little to no profit in the final months of 2023-24.

在线奢侈品零售商Cettire(ASX:CTT)的股票在周一普遍下跌,该公司的降级令投资者大为惊讶。经过仔细检查,发现该公司在2023-24年度的最后几个月以微薄或没有利润售出货物。

The shares more than halved, hitting a day's low of $1.15 from last Friday's close, before slightly recovering to be down 48% at $1.16 by 1 pm.

在上周五的收盘价$1.15的基础上,Cettire的股票下跌了一半以上,一度跌至$1.15的低点,午后1点时略有回升,下跌了48%,至$1.16。

Cettire noted that it had experienced "strong, broad-based revenue growth" in the final quarter of 2023-24 but also admitted that "the operating environment within global online luxury has become more challenging."

Cettire指出,它在2023-24年度的最后一个季度经历了“强劲的、基础性的营业收入增长”,但也承认“全球奢侈品在线销售的经营环境变得更具挑战性”。

(Monday saw Cettire, Star Entertainment, and Metcash use similar words to describe the current trading environment.)

(周一,Cettire、星娱乐和Metcash使用类似的词汇来描述当前的交易环境。)

Cettire said it expected to deliver "significant" year-on-year growth in active customers, sales revenue, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), and cash.

Cettire称,其预计在活跃客户、销售收入、调整后的息税前利润、折旧和摊销前利润和现金方面实现“显著”的年度增长。销售收入预计将从2023年财年增长77%至99%,到达7.35亿至7.45亿美元。调整后的息税前利润预计将在3200万至3500万美元的区间内下降,同比增长24%至36%。

Sales revenue is forecast to grow 77% to 99% from FY 2023 to $735 million–$745 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to fall in the range of $32 million to $35 million, up 24% to 36% year-on-year.

销售收入预计将从2023年财年增长77%至99%,到达7.35亿至7.45亿美元。调整后的息税前利润预计将在3200万至3500万美元的区间内下降,同比增长24%至36%。

And that was the problem. Sales revenue in the nine months to March was $545.2 million, according to an update issued in April, with adjusted EBITDA for the nine months put at $32.1 million.

这就是问题所在。根据4月份发布的一项更新,Cettire在三个月内的销售收入为5.452亿美元,调整后的息税前利润为3,210万美元。

Now, the adjusted EBITDA figure for the full financial year to June 30 is estimated at $32 to $35 million, meaning the company will have sold around $200 million worth of goods in the current quarter for little or no profit ($3 million at best).

现在,到6月30日完整财年的调整后息税前利润预计为3200万至3500万美元,这意味着该公司在本季度为几乎没有利润或微薄利润(最多为300万美元)销售了价值约2亿美元的货物。难怪投资者算出了这个账,股票崩盘。

No wonder the shares collapsed once investors worked out the math and matched it to the comments.

投资者算出了这个账,股票崩盘。

The company explained that weaker demand trends and increased promotional activity (advertising spending) had crimped margins and impacted its June quarter financial performance, leading investors to expect lower profits.

该公司解释称,需求疲软的趋势和促销活动(广告支出)的增加压缩了利润率并影响了其6月季度的财务表现,导致投资者预期利润将下降。

"A softening demand environment and an increase in promotional activity has been visible across our footprint, particularly in the last several weeks as the market has entered the Spring Summer 24 sale period," CEO Dean Mintz said in the update.

“我们的业务涵盖面内出现了需求环境疲软和促销活动增加的情况,特别是在市场进入春夏24大促销期的前几周,”首席执行官Dean Mintz在更新中说。

"Additionally, we believe the market is currently being impacted by clearance activity as certain players exit parts of the market.

“此外,我们认为市场目前正在受到清仓活动的影响,某些参与者正在退出市场的某些部分。为了继续扩大市场份额,Cettire选择有选择性地参加促销活动,导致市场营销成本相对于销售增加,出货利润率下降。”

To continue to expand our market share, Cettire has selectively participated in the promotional activity, leading to an increase in marketing costs relative to sales and a decline in delivered margin percentage."

然而,他仍然对此持乐观态度:“随着2024财年将要结束,我们预计今年的营收和调整后的息税前利润将有显著增长。这不仅突显了我们在供应和需求两侧都取得强劲增长的情况,也说明了我们高效的成本结构。”

However, he was still upbeat: "With FY24 nearing completion, we are expecting to report considerable growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the year. Not only does this highlight the strong traction that our platform is gaining both on the supply and demand side, but it also illustrates our efficient cost structure."

投资者忽略了该公司在中国大陆的直销平台于周日正式上线并“已经开始处理订单”,根据Mintz的说法,这成为了业绩下滑后的一个想法。

Investors ignored the news that the company's direct platform in mainland China went live on Sunday and was "already processing orders," according to Mintz—an afterthought in the wake of the slump in earnings.

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