Is There Now An Opportunity In Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC)?
Is There Now An Opportunity In Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC)?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC). The company's stock saw a decent share price growth of 17% on the NYSE over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Elastic's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
今天我们来看一看成熟的Elastic N.V.(纽交所:ESTC)公司。该公司的股票在纽交所上的过去几个月中看到了17%的良好股价增长。最近股价上涨已经将公司推向正确的方向,尽管它仍然没有达到今年的峰值。由于许多分析师对该大市值股票进行覆盖,因此我们可能认为任何价格敏感的公告已经被纳入股票价格。然而,如果股票仍然具有折扣呢?今天我们将分析Elastic前景和估值的最新数据,以确定机会是否仍然存在。
What Is Elastic Worth?
Elastic的价值是多少?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It's trading around 6.11% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Elastic today, you'd be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is $102.71, there's only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. What's more, Elastic's share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.
根据我们的估值模型,目前股票似乎是合理定价的。它的交易价格大约比我们的内在价值高6.11%,这意味着如果您今天买入Elastic,您将为其支付相对合理的价格。如果您相信该公司的真实价值为102.71美元,那么只有当价格下跌到其真实价值时,才会出现微不足道的下行。此外,由于其低beta指标,Elastic的股价可能在时间上更稳定(相对于市场)。
What does the future of Elastic look like?
Elastic的未来如何?
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240625/0-642e2f559d6ac520cc6b5cccfa9f47b4-0-f08f61562f11b318adab7d3abe804c2d.png/big)
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Elastic, at least in the near future.
未来前景是您考虑买入股票时需要考虑的重要因素,特别是如果您是投资者,希望股票投资组合有增长。尽管价值投资者会认为最重要的是内在价值相对于价格,但更有吸引力的投资论点将是高成长潜力和便宜的价格。然而,在未来几年内预计出现极度负面的两位数收益变化,因此,短期增长肯定不是买入该股票的决定因素。至少在短期内,Elastic似乎面临着高度不确定的局面。
What This Means For You
这对您意味着什么?
Are you a shareholder? ESTC seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
您是股东吗?ESTC现在看起来定价合理,但鉴于将来收益为负的不确定性,现在可能是将风险分散的合适时机。您目前持有的股票对您的整体投资组合有益吗?持有不良前景股票的机会成本太高了吗?在做决策之前,请查看其基本面是否发生了变化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on ESTC for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help gel your views on ESTC should the price fluctuate below its true value.
您是潜在投资者吗?如果您一直在关注ESTC,现在可能不是最理想的买入时机,因为它正在公正价值范围内交易。价格似乎正在公正价值范围内交易,这意味着从错价中获得的好处较少。除此之外,负增长的前景增加了持有该股票的风险。但是,今天我们还没有考虑其他重要因素,这些因素可以在价格低于其真实价值时帮助加强您对ESTC的看法。
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Elastic (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
请记住,分析股票的风险很重要。当我们进行研究时,我们发现Elastic存在3个警告信号(其中1个让我们有点不舒服!),我们认为这些信号值得您充分关注。
If you are no longer interested in Elastic, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果你对 Elastic 不再感兴趣,可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们超过50只其他潜在高成长股票的列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com