share_log

These 4 Measures Indicate That Anhui Conch Cement (HKG:914) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That Anhui Conch Cement (HKG:914) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

这4项措施表明海螺水泥(HKG:914)合理运用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  06/25 19:03

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited (HKG:914) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,'波动性远非风险的同义词。'所以,看起来聪明的资金知道,债务 - 通常涉及破产 - 是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。像许多其他公司一样,海螺水泥公司(香港股份代码:914)利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来多大的风险呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务对企业提供帮助,直到企业无法通过新资本或自由现金流偿还债务为止。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么也得不到。然而,一种更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,企业必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。然而,通过替换稀释,债务可以成为需要以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。在考虑企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是查看其现金和债务。

What Is Anhui Conch Cement's Net Debt?

安徽海螺水泥的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Anhui Conch Cement had CN¥23.7b of debt, up from CN¥22.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥68.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥44.6b net cash.

如下所示,在2024年3月底,安徽海螺水泥的债务为237亿元人民币,较去年同期的223亿元人民币有所增加。单击图像以获取更多详细信息。但它也有683亿元人民币的现金来抵销这笔债务,这意味着它有446亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:914 Debt to Equity History June 25th 2024
SEHK:914债务股权历史记录:2024年6月25日

How Strong Is Anhui Conch Cement's Balance Sheet?

安徽海螺水泥的资产负债表如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Anhui Conch Cement had liabilities of CN¥26.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥19.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥68.3b as well as receivables valued at CN¥17.4b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥39.7b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,安徽海螺水泥在12个月内有263亿元人民币的负债,而在此期限之后有197亿元人民币的负债。抵销这些义务,它有683亿元人民币的现金,以及价值174亿元人民币的应收款项在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有397亿元人民币的净现金。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Anhui Conch Cement's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Anhui Conch Cement boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种过剩的流动性是安徽海螺水泥资产负债表强大的一个很好的迹象。考虑到这个事实,我们认为它的资产负债表和一头公牛一样强大。简而言之,安徽海螺水泥拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它没有沉重的债务负担!

But the bad news is that Anhui Conch Cement has seen its EBIT plunge 19% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Anhui Conch Cement's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但不幸的是,安徽海螺水泥过去12个月的息税前利润(EBIT)下降了19%。我们认为,如果这种表现经常重复,可能会导致该股票的困难。显然,资产负债表是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最重要的是未来的收益,这将决定安徽海螺水泥维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想了解专业人员的意见,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Anhui Conch Cement has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Anhui Conch Cement barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

但我们的最后考虑因素也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸上利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬的现金。尽管安徽海螺水泥在其资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看它将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它正在快速建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。过去三年,安徽海螺水泥总体上仅实现了微弱的自由现金流。尽管许多公司确实运作平衡,但我们更喜欢看到实质性的自由现金流,尤其是如果一个公司已经死去。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anhui Conch Cement has CN¥44.6b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Anhui Conch Cement's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Anhui Conch Cement that you should be aware of.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,安徽海螺水泥拥有446亿元人民币的净现金和一张看起来漂亮的资产负债表。因此,我们对安徽海螺水泥的债务使用并不感到困扰。显然,资产负债表是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经发现了一项安徽海螺水泥的警告信号,您应该注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发