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Sinochem International (SHSE:600500) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Sinochem International (SHSE:600500) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

中化国际(SHSE:600500)有负债但没有盈利,您是否应该担心?
Simply Wall St ·  06/25 19:43

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Sinochem International Corporation (SHSE:600500) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯很好地表达了这一点,他说,与其担心股价波动,不如担心“永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险……而我认识的每个实际投资者都会担心”。看跌。所以,聪明的人看来知道,债务——通常涉及破产——是评估公司风险性的一个非常重要的因素。值得注意的是,中化国际(SHSE:600500)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这种债务是否使公司变得有风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的一种工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人,则存在于债权人的垂青之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。虽然这种情况不常见,我们通常会看到欠款公司因债权人强迫他们以低于市场价的价格募集资本而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它替代了公司有能力以高回报率进行再投资的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先看现金和债务总额。

What Is Sinochem International's Debt?

什么是中化国际的债务?

As you can see below, Sinochem International had CN¥20.1b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.30b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥17.8b.

正如您在下面看到的,中化国际在2024年3月有201亿人民币的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以点击图表查看更多细节。然而,由于它拥有23亿人民币的现金储备,因此其净债务较少,为约178亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600500 Debt to Equity History June 25th 2024
SHSE:600500的资产负债历史

How Healthy Is Sinochem International's Balance Sheet?

中化国际的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sinochem International had liabilities of CN¥21.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥12.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.30b in cash and CN¥7.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥24.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,中化国际到期短期债务为213亿人民币,超过了70.7亿人民币的现金和应收账款。 所以,它的负债总额为248亿元人民币,超过了其现金和近期应收账款的总和。这个亏损超过12.7亿元人民币的债务阴影,宛如站在凡人之上的巨人。所以我们认为股东一定需要密切关注。归根结底,如果中化国际的债权人要求偿还,它很可能需要进行大规模的重新资本化。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但您不能孤立地看待债务,因为中化国际将需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,确实值得关注收益趋势。点此获取交互式快照。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥12.7b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Sinochem International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sinochem International will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

在过去的一年中,中化国际税前利润亏损,营业收入实际下降了39%,为510亿元人民币。坦白说,这不是个好兆头。中化国际的营业收入不仅在过去的十二个月内下降,而且实现了负的利润之前的利润和税收(EBIT)。它的EBIT损失高达17亿元人民币。当我们看到这些与其显著的负债相结合时,我们对公司并不特别有信心。除了它在最近的十二个月内有21亿元人民币的自由现金流外。因此,我们认为该股票具有风险。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经发现了中化国际的3个警告迹象,您应该知道。

In the last year Sinochem International had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 39%, to CN¥51b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去的一年中,中化国际税前利润亏损,营业收入实际下降了39%,为510亿元人民币。坦白说,这不是个好兆头。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Not only did Sinochem International's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥1.7b. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CN¥2.1b over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Sinochem International that you should be aware of.

在过去的12个月中,中化国际的营业收入不仅下滑,而且在利息和税前利润(EBIT)方面负增长。其EBIT亏损高达17亿元人民币。当我们考虑到巨大的负债时,我们对该公司并不特别有信心。在我们对该股票感兴趣之前,我们希望看到近期的强劲表现。尤其是由于过去12个月中它的自由现金流为负21亿元人民币。因此可以说我们认为这只股票存在风险。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表以外的风险。例如,我们已经发现中化国际存在3个警告信号,您应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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