share_log

Is Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd (SZSE:300618) A Risky Investment?

Is Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd (SZSE:300618) A Risky Investment?

南京证券汉瑞钴业股份有限公司(SZSE:300618)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/25 22:12

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Nanjing Hanrui Cobalt Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300618) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

戴维伊本说得好:“波动性不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免永久损失资本。”因此,看来明智的投资者知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险的非常重要的因素。重要的是,南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司(SZSE:300618)确实有负债。但更重要的问题是:这些负债产生了多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务能够支持企业发展,直到企业铺平了还债的道路,无论是通过新的资本或者自由现金流,如果企业无法满足偿还债务的法定义务,那么股东可能毫无所获。然而,更为常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,企业以较低的价格筹集新的股本资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。话虽如此,最常见的情况是企业合理地管理其债务,以实现自己的利益。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑其现金和债务的总和。

What Is Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's Net Debt?

南京寒锐钴业有限公司的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd had CN¥1.63b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.31b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.80b in cash, so it actually has CN¥172.8m net cash.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2024年3月,南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司负债总计为16.3亿人民币,较去年的13.1亿人民币有所增长。但其资产负债表显示,公司持有18亿人民币的现金,因此实际上有1.728亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300618 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024
SZSE:300618的资产负债历史记录到2024年6月26日。

How Strong Is Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's Balance Sheet?

南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司的资产负债表有多强大?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.33b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥540.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.80b as well as receivables valued at CN¥507.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥562.3m.

最新的资产负债表显示,南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司的负债总额为23.3亿人民币,将在一年内到期,而5405万人民币将在一年后到期。抵消这些负债的是它有18亿人民币的现金以及12个月内到期的应收账款,价值507.6万人民币。因此,其负债总额超过了现金和(短期)应收账款的总和,达到5623万元人民币。

Given Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥8.03b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司的市值为80.3亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成多大的威胁。尽管如此,很明显我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况变得更糟。尽管其负债总额相当可观,但是南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有承载过重的债务负担!

Even more impressive was the fact that Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd grew its EBIT by 348% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更为令人印象深刻的是,南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司在十二个月的时间内增长了348%的税息折旧及摊销前利润。这种增长将使其更容易在未来偿还债务。很明显,资产负债表是分析公司债务时重点关注的领域。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司是否能随着时间的推移强化其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最后,公司只能用现金而不是会计利润偿还债务。虽然南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但我们仍然有必要查看其将利息、税、折旧及摊销前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。在过去的三年中,南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司总共录得了负的自由现金流。对于一家负自由现金流的公司,负债通常更加昂贵,几乎总是更加风险。股东们应该希望有所改善。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd has CN¥172.8m in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 348% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

虽然查看公司的总负债始终是明智的,但南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司有1.728亿元人民币的净现金令人非常放心。此外,南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司在过去一年中的税息折旧及摊销前利润增长了348%令人印象深刻。因此,我们对南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司的负债使用没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但是,最终每家公司都可能存在平衡表之外的风险。例如,南京寒锐钴业股份有限公司有2个警示信号(其中1个有点令人不愉快),我们认为您应该知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发