share_log

Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) Using Too Much Debt?

Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) Using Too Much Debt?

众信旅游(SZSE:002707)是否过于借债?
Simply Wall St ·  06/25 22:29

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, UTour Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002707) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的对外基金经理人李录( Li Lu )在他说'最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会承受到资本的永久损失'时毫不掩饰。当考虑一家公司的风险时,考虑公司的负债表是很自然的,因为债务往往是一个公司破产时的主要原因。重要的是,众信旅游股份有限公司 (SZSE:002707)确实承担了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务创建了多少风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,要么通过筹集资金,要么通过自己的现金流量,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有。然而,更为频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低得惊人的价格发行股票,永久地稀释股东的持股,以巩固其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是,一家公司合理地管理其债务,使其受益。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看看它的现金和债务。

What Is UTour Group's Net Debt?

众信旅游的净债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 UTour Group had CN¥856.3m of debt, an increase on CN¥581.9m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥568.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥287.8m.

您可以单击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年3月,众信旅游有8.563亿元的债务,同比增长了5.819亿人民币,超过一年。然而,它确实有5.686亿元的现金抵消了这一点,导致净债务约为2.878亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002707 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024
SZSE:002707股票的债务股本比历史记录于2024年6月26日

How Healthy Is UTour Group's Balance Sheet?

众信旅游的资产负债表状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that UTour Group had liabilities of CN¥1.82b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.21m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥568.6m in cash and CN¥360.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥895.7m.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,众信旅游有18.2亿元的短期负债和921万元的长期负债。抵消这一点的是,它有5.686亿元的现金和3.604亿元的预付款项,一年内应收款项。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收款项的总和895.7万元。

Of course, UTour Group has a market capitalization of CN¥5.68b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

当然,众信旅游市值为56.8亿元,所以这些负债可能是可以管理的。但是有足够的负债,我们绝对建议股东继续关注资产负债表的变化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

UTour Group's debt is 2.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One redeeming factor for UTour Group is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥104m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if UTour Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

众信旅游的债务是其EBITDA的2.6倍,而其EBIT覆盖其利息支出的3.6倍。这表明尽管债务水平很高,我们还没有称其为有问题的。对于众信旅游的一个挽救性的因素是,它将去年的EBIT亏损转换为过去12个月的1.04亿元收益。资产负债表显然是在你分析债务时要关注的领域。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定众信旅游能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的想法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, UTour Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。因此,值得检查的是,利息和税前利润(EBIT)支持的自由现金流是多少。值得高兴的是,众信旅游在过去一年中实际上产生了比EBIT多的自由现金流。这种强劲的现金产生方式让我们感到非常欣慰,就像穿着大黄蜂服的小狗一样可爱。

Our View

我们的观点

UTour Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that UTour Group can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for UTour Group you should be aware of.

众信旅游的EBIT转换为自由现金流显示,它可以像C罗对付14岁以下的门将一样轻松地处理其债务。但是,更为严峻的是,我们对其利息覆盖率有些担忧。综合考虑前述所有因素,我们认为众信旅游可以相当舒适地处理其债务。在积极方面,这种杠杆可以提高股东的回报率,但潜在的下行风险更大。因此,值得监控资产负债表。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表内,甚至不是大多数风险。一个例子:我们注意到了就众信旅游的1个警示标志, 您应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发