share_log

Is Sinomach Precision Industry Group (SZSE:002046) A Risky Investment?

Is Sinomach Precision Industry Group (SZSE:002046) A Risky Investment?

国机精工(SZSE:002046)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 00:07

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Sinomach Precision Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002046) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

作为投资者,有些人认为波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,聪明人知道,通常与破产有关的债务是评估公司风险的非常重要的因素。重要的是,国机精工股份有限公司 (SZSE:002046) 确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务构成了多少风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或者以有吸引力价格募资时,债务和其他负债对该企业的风险构成风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,银行家可以控制企业。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦)情况是必须以低价募集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先看现金和债务总额。

How Much Debt Does Sinomach Precision Industry Group Carry?

国机精工股份有限公司承担多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinomach Precision Industry Group had debt of CN¥679.8m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥798.2m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥606.1m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥73.7m.

如下所示,您可以点击了解更多细节,国机精工股份有限公司于2024年3月底的债务为6.798亿元人民币,同比减少7.982亿元人民币。然而,由于其现金储备达到了6.061亿元人民币,因此其净债务还不足7.37亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002046 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024
SZSE:002046 负债权益历史数据 2024年6月26日

How Strong Is Sinomach Precision Industry Group's Balance Sheet?

国机精工股份有限公司的资产负债表如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sinomach Precision Industry Group had liabilities of CN¥1.18b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥576.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥606.1m in cash and CN¥1.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥211.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,国机精工股份有限公司在12个月内需要偿付1.18亿元人民币的负债和超过这一时间期限的576.2万元人民币的负债。抵消这些负债的是,它有6.061亿元人民币的现金和13.6亿元人民币的在12个月内到期的应收账款。因此它实际拥有的是2.116亿元人民币的剩余现金。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This surplus suggests that Sinomach Precision Industry Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. But either way, Sinomach Precision Industry Group has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这表明国机精工股份有限公司的资产负债表非常保守,不过它可能很容易消除其债务。但无论如何,国机精工股份有限公司几乎没有净债务,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了衡量公司债务相对于其收益的大小,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)以及其税前收益与利息支出(其利息覆盖率)的比率。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了所支付的利率。

Sinomach Precision Industry Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.18. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 13.7 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Sinomach Precision Industry Group has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Sinomach Precision Industry Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

国机精工股份有限公司的净债务/EBITDA比率仅为0.18。它的息税前利润轻松覆盖其利息支出,大小相当于13.7倍。因此,我们对其超级保守的债务使用感到非常放松。另一个好的迹象是,国机精工股份有限公司已经在12个月内增加了29%的EBIT,使其更容易偿还债务。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。但是,正是国机精工股份有限公司的收益将影响资产负债表在未来的投入。因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收益的知识,建议您查看它的长期盈利趋势图。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Sinomach Precision Industry Group's free cash flow amounted to 23% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。因此,我们显然需要看看这种EBIT是否能够带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,国机精工股份有限公司的自由现金流仅占EBIT的23%,低于我们的预期。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。

Our View

我们的观点

Sinomach Precision Industry Group's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Sinomach Precision Industry Group's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sinomach Precision Industry Group that you should be aware of.

国机精工股份有限公司的利息保障倍数表明它可以像C·罗纳尔多在14岁以下的门将面前进球那样轻松地处理其债务。 但更令人担忧的是它将EBIT转化为自由现金流。从更大的角度来看,我们认为国机精工股份有限公司的债务使用似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担忧。毕竟,明智的杠杆可以提高股本回报率。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如,我们已经确定 国机精工股份有限公司 存在2个警告信号,您应该注意这些信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发