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Lucky Harvest Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002965) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

Lucky Harvest Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002965) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

祥鑫科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002965)的股票一直下滑,但基本面看起来很强,市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 00:20

It is hard to get excited after looking at Lucky Harvest's (SZSE:002965) recent performance, when its stock has declined 14% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Lucky Harvest's ROE in this article.

看到祥鑫科技(SZSE:002965)近3个月下跌了14%,再加上公司基本面的表现相对疲软,让人不太容易激动。但是,一旦深入了解其健康的财务状况,情况或许又会有所不同。毕竟,基本面通常是长期市场收益的主导驱动因素,因此这家公司值得考虑。特别是,我们决定在本文中研究祥鑫科技的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东应考虑的重要因素是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们投资的资本如何被有效地再投资。简单来说,它用于评估公司与其股权资本相关的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Lucky Harvest is:

因此,根据上述公式,祥鑫科技的roe为:

14% = CN¥447m ÷ CN¥3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

14% = CN¥44700万 ÷ CN¥32亿(截止到2024年3月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.14 in profit.

'回报'是指一家公司在过去一年的收益。这意味着公司每CN¥1的股东权益,就会产生CN¥0.14的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,roe是一个有效的利润生成衡量标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力。根据公司再投资或“保留”这些利润的比例以及这样做的有效性,我们能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,roe和利润保留的比例越高,相对于没有这些特征的公司,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Lucky Harvest's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

比较祥鑫科技的盈利增长和14%的roe

At first glance, Lucky Harvest seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 6.9% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This certainly adds some context to Lucky Harvest's exceptional 25% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,祥鑫科技似乎有一个不错的roe。与平均行业roe的6.9%相比,公司的roe看起来相当显著。这无疑为祥鑫科技在过去5年中出色的25%净收入增长增添了一些背景。不过,这种增长背后也可能存在其他因素。例如,公司管理层可能已经做出了一些不错的战略决策,或者公司的股息支付比率较低。

We then compared Lucky Harvest's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 9.5% in the same 5-year period.

随后我们将祥鑫科技的净收入增长与行业进行比较,很高兴地看到,与同5年期间增长率为9.5%的行业相比,公司的增长数据更高。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002965 Past Earnings Growth June 26th 2024
祥鑫科技SZSE:002965过去的盈利增长情况(2024年6月26日)

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Lucky Harvest fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

当评估股票价值时,盈利增长是一个非常重要的指标。投资者需要了解市场是否已经将公司预期的盈利增长(或下滑)定价。这有助于他们判断该股的前景是光明还是黯淡。与其他公司相比,祥鑫科技是否合理定价?以下3项估值指标可能会对您做出决策有所帮助。

Is Lucky Harvest Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

祥鑫科技是否有效地再投资利润?

Lucky Harvest has a three-year median payout ratio of 26% (where it is retaining 74% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Lucky Harvest is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

祥鑫科技的3年中位数股息支付比率为26%(即留存收入的比率为74%),既不是太低也不是太高。看起来,股息得到了很好的覆盖,祥鑫科技正在有效地再投资其利润,正如我们上面所讨论的那样,其增长非常出色。

Moreover, Lucky Harvest is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of four years of paying a dividend.

此外,祥鑫科技有着四年派息的悠久历史,决心继续与股东分享利润。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Lucky Harvest's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们非常满意祥鑫科技的表现。特别是,我们认为该公司正在以高回报率重新投资其巨额利润,这当然导致其收益大幅增长。最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司预期将保持现有的增长率。要了解有关该公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看此免费分析师预测报告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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