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Aotecar New Energy Technology (SZSE:002239) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Aotecar New Energy Technology (SZSE:002239) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

奥特佳新能母基科技(SZSE:002239)在债务使用方面存在一定风险
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 00:27

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Aotecar New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002239) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

David Iben说得好:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”所以,聪明的钱知道负债——通常与破产有关——是评估公司风险的一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,奥特佳(Aotecar)新能源科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002239)确实有负债。但更重要的问题是:这些负债创造了多少风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法以自由现金流或以高价筹集资本来轻松履行其债务义务时,债务和其他负债变得有风险。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”过程,失败的企业会被其银行家无情地清算。虽然这并不常见,但我们经常看到负债公司因贷款人迫使他们以困境价格筹集资本而永久稀释股东。当然,负债的好处在于它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它将公司中具有高回报率再投资的能力的稀释替代时。考虑企业使用多少债务的第一件事是查看其现金和债务。

What Is Aotecar New Energy Technology's Debt?

奥特佳新能源技术的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Aotecar New Energy Technology had debt of CN¥2.02b, up from CN¥1.68b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.12b in cash, so it actually has CN¥105.3m net cash.

下面的图片(可单击以获取更多详细信息)显示,截至2024年3月,奥特佳新能源技术负债20.2亿人民币,较一年前的16.8亿元人民币增加。但其资产负债表显示,公司持有21.2亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上具有1.05亿人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002239 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024
SZSE:002239股权-债务历史记录 June 26th 2024

A Look At Aotecar New Energy Technology's Liabilities

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,奥特佳新能源科技公司有64亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期,以及5006万元人民币的长期负债。与此相对应的是,公司持有21.2亿元人民币的现金和30.3亿元人民币的短期应收账款。因此,其负债比其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和多出1.74亿人民币。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Aotecar New Energy Technology had liabilities of CN¥6.40b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥500.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.12b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.03b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.74b.

这个负差还不太糟糕,因为奥特佳新能源技术价值为7.49亿元人民币,因此如果需要,可能可以筹集足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但我们肯定要密切注意其债务是否带来了过多风险。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但奥特佳新能源技术也拥有比负债更多的现金,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理其债务。

This deficit isn't so bad because Aotecar New Energy Technology is worth CN¥7.49b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Aotecar New Energy Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由于过去一年内其盈利能力下降了76%,因此奥特佳新能源技术的负担并不沉重。当公司看到其盈利下滑时,有时会发现其与放贷人的关系变得恶劣。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到了债务方面的大部分情况,但您不能单独查看债务。因为奥特佳新能源技术需要盈利来支付债务。因此,在考虑债务时,一定要查看收益趋势。

It is just as well that Aotecar New Energy Technology's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 76% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aotecar New Energy Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

最后,公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不能用会计利润。虽然奥特佳新能源技术在资产负债表上有净现金,但是观察公司将其息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力很有趣,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。在过去两年中,奥特佳新能源技术总体上出现了大量负自由现金流。尽管投资者无疑期待在适当的时候扭转这种情况,但它显然确实意味着其债务使用更具风险性。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Aotecar New Energy Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last two years, Aotecar New Energy Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

尽管奥特佳新能源技术的负债大于其流动资产,但其净现金为10530万元人民币。因此,尽管我们看到了一些需要改善的地方,但我们对奥特佳新能源技术的资产负债表并不太担心。在分析债务时,显然应着重考虑资产负债表。但是,并非所有投资风险都隐藏在资产负债表中,有很多其他方面也需要注意。请注意,奥特佳新能源技术在我们的投资分析中显示了2个警告信号,您必须了解……

Summing Up

总之

While Aotecar New Energy Technology does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥105.3m. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Aotecar New Energy Technology's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Aotecar New Energy Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

虽然奥特佳新能源技术的负债高于其流动资产,但其净现金为10530万元人民币。因此,尽管我们看到了一些需要改善的地方,但我们对奥特佳新能源技术的资产负债表并不太担心。显然,在分析债务时,资产负债表是需要关注的区域。但并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表上。请注意,奥特佳新能源技术在我们的投资分析中存在2个警告信号,您需要了解…

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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