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Should Weakness in Chemed Corporation's (NYSE:CHE) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Chemed Corporation's (NYSE:CHE) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

化学处理公司(NYSE:chemed)股票的疲软是否被视为市场将因不错的财务状况而修正股价的迹象?
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 07:11

It is hard to get excited after looking at Chemed's (NYSE:CHE) recent performance, when its stock has declined 17% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Chemed's ROE.

最近三个月,Chemed (纽交所:chemed) 的股价下跌了17%,这让人难以激动起来。然而,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势保持一致。在本文中,我们决定重点关注 Chemed 的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是检验公司增加其价值和管理投资者资金有效性的测试。简而言之,ROE显示每个美元的利润与其股东的投资有关。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chemed is:

因此,根据上述公式,Chemed的ROE为:

24% = US$283m ÷ US$1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

24%= 283m美元 ÷ 12亿美元(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.24 in profit.

“回报”是每年的利润。这意味着公司每1美元股东权益产生0.24美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到 ROE 是衡量公司盈利能力的一种指标。现在,我们需要评估公司重新投资或“保留”的利润有多少,以此来衡量公司的成长潜力。其他因素相同的情况下,具有更高的股本回报率和更高的利润保留的公司通常比没有相同特征的公司具有更高的增长率。

Chemed's Earnings Growth And 24% ROE

Chemed的盈利增长和24%的ROE

First thing first, we like that Chemed has an impressive ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Yet, Chemed has posted measly growth of 2.9% over the past five years. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. Such a scenario is likely to take place when a company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,我们喜欢 Chemed 具有令人印象深刻的ROE。其次,即使与11%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的ROE也相当出色。然而,在过去的五年中,Chemed的增长率仅为2.9%。这很有趣,因为高收益应意味着公司有能力实现高增长,但出于某种原因,它未能这样做。这种情况很可能发生在一个公司把巨额收益支付为股息,或面临竞争压力的情况下。

We then compared Chemed's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 5.6% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

我们随后将Chemed的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,并发现该公司的增长数字低于同一5年期内行业平均增长率的5.6%,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:CHE Past Earnings Growth June 26th 2024
NYSE:CHE 过去的盈利增长(2024年6月26日)

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is CHE worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CHE is currently mispriced by the market.

评估公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相联系。投资者需要判断的下一步是预期的盈利增长是否已经反映在股价中,或者缺乏盈利增长是否已经反映在股价之中。这有助于他们判断股票的未来是否光明或黯淡。CHE今天的价值是多少?我们免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图可视化表明CHE当前是否被市场错误定价。

Is Chemed Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Chemed是否有效利用其利润?

A low three-year median payout ratio of 8.4% (implying that the company retains the remaining 92% of its income) suggests that Chemed is retaining most of its profits. This should be reflected in its earnings growth number, but that's not the case. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

低达三年的中位数8.4%的低派息比率(意味着公司保留其收入的其余92%)表明Chemed保留了大部分利润。这应该反映在其盈利增长数字中,但事实并非如此。因此,可能存在其他说明。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Chemed has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,Chemed已经连续十年派发股息,这意味着即使没有盈利增长,公司管理层仍决心支付股息。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Chemed certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们认为Chemed当然有一些值得考虑的积极因素。然而,低的盈利增长有点令人担忧,特别是考虑到该公司具有高的回报率并且正在重新投资其大部分利润。看起来可能有一些其他因素,不一定在企业的控制之下,阻碍了增长。就算这样,最新的分析师预测显示,该公司的盈利将继续增长。这些分析师的预测是否基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?单击此处,进入我们的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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