share_log

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (SHSE:600887) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 22% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (SHSE:600887) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 22% If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投资,内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600887)的投资者现在面临着22%的亏损。
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 18:31

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. The Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600887) is down 29% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -22% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 27% over the last three years. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 10% in a month. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 6.9% in the same time period.

没有人喜欢股票亏损,但当市场下跌,你注定会有一些输家。伊利股份(SHSE:600887)股价下跌了29%,但如果加上红利,股东的总回报率为-22%。这比过去三年下降27%的市场表现要好。更近期的是,股价在一个月内又下跌了10%。不过,我们注意到,股价可能受到了更广泛市场的影响,该市场在同一时期下跌了6.9%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得评估公司的经济状况是否与这些不尽如人意的股东回报同时发展并步调一致,或者两者之间是否存在差异。因此,让我们来看看。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:短期内市场是一个投票机,但长期来看它是一个称重机。评估公司周边环境的情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 11% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股价下跌期间,伊利股份的每股收益(EPS)实际上平均每年提高了11%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑EPS在该期间内不是业务绩效的好指标(可能由于一次性损失或收益引起)。或者,过去的增长预期可能是不合理的。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一提的是,在三年的时间里,营业收入实际上年增长了32%,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。很可能需要进一步调查中国儒意控股,因为我们在分析中可能会漏掉一些内容,而这也可能是一个机会。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group has increased its revenue over the last three years. If the company can keep growing revenue, there may be an opportunity for investors. You might have to dig deeper to understand the recent share price weakness.

考虑到红利支付的健康状况,我们怀疑它们没有引起市场关注。很高兴看到伊利股份在过去三年中增加了营业收入。如果公司能保持收入增长,投资者可能会有机会。您可能需要深入了解最近股价的疲软情况。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600887 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 26th 2024
SHSE:600887收益与营收增长2024年6月26日

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

伊利股份为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师试图预测未来的利润水平。因此,我们建议查看此免费报告,显示共识预测。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group, it has a TSR of -22% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报TSR是一个回报率计算,考虑了现金股息的价值(假设任何获得的红利都已再投资)以及任何折价的资本增发和拆分的计算价值。在股票回报方面,伊利股份在过去的3年中TSR为-22%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票收益。公司支付的红利已经提振了股东的,股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While it's never nice to take a loss, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 4.9% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 16%. Given the total loss of 1.9% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

虽然亏损从来不是一件好事,但伊利股份股东可以安慰自己,包括红利在内,他们在过去十二个月中的亏损率只有4.9%,比市场亏损率16%左右要好。在过去五年中,总亏损率为每年1.9%,看起来回报已在过去十二个月内恶化。虽然有些投资者专门投资于正在奋斗(但仍被低估)的公司,但不要忘记巴菲特曾说过,“重组很少能成功”。记住这一点,下一个扎实的步骤可能是查看伊利股份的股利记录。这个免费互动图是一个很好的开始。

Of course Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,伊利股份可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望查看这些成长股的免费收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发