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'People With A Lot Of Money Could Influence The Election:' Interactive Brokers' Thomas Peterffy Reveals Why CFTC Will Not Allow Election-Related Contracts

'People With A Lot Of Money Could Influence The Election:' Interactive Brokers' Thomas Peterffy Reveals Why CFTC Will Not Allow Election-Related Contracts

'有很多钱的人可能会影响选举:' 盈透证券的Thomas Peterffy透露为什么CFTC不允许与选举有关的合约。
Benzinga ·  06/27 04:21

Interactive Brokers' (NASDAQ:IBKR) Thomas Peterffy has revealed that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will not permit the listing of election-related contracts on their soon-to-launch prediction market, "ForecastEx."

互动经纪人(NASDAQ:IBKR)的托马斯·佩得菲透露,商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)将不允许将与选举相关的合同列入他们即将推出的预测市场“ForecastEx”。

What Happened: On Wednesday, Peterffy, the founder of Interactive Brokers, revealed during CNBC's "Last Call" that the CFTC will not allow to list election-related contracts on their upcoming prediction market.

发生了什么事:周三,互动经纪人的创始人彼得菲(Peterffy)在CNBC的“Last Call”节目上透露,CFTC将不允许在他们即将推出的预测市场上列出与选举相关的合同。

"They think that it may influence the election. That people with a lot of money could influence the election by deriving the contract to an unreasonable level."

“他们认为它可能会影响选举。那些有很多钱的人可能会通过将合同派生到不合理的水平来影响选举。”

Peterffy's comment appears after Interactive Brokers 's wholly owned subsidiary ForecastEx LLC received the CFTC's nod to operate a contract market and derivative clearing organization.

彼得菲的评论出现在Interactive Brokers的全资子公司ForecastEx LLC获得CFTC的允许操作合同市场和衍生品清算组织之后。

As per a press release, ForecastEx, a prediction market, is scheduled to commence operations on July 8 and will offer contracts that enable investors to speculate on the likelihood of specific economic and climate indicators.

根据新闻稿,预测市场ForecastEx计划在7月8日开始运营,并将提供合同,使投资者可以投机特定经济和气候指标的可能性。

Contracts on ForecastEx aim to provide a consensus view on controversial issues and hedge economic exposure.

ForecastEx的合同旨在提供有争议问题的共识,并对经济敞口进行对冲。

"Unfortunately, the @CFTC will not allow us to list an election-related contract," says @IBKR's Thomas Peterffy on the soon-to-launch prediction market "ForecastEx". "They think that it may influence the election. That people with a lot of money could influence the election." pic.twitter.com/EDOnu8Exwk

— Last Call (@LastCallCNBC) June 27, 2024

“不幸的是,@CFTC不会允许我们列出与选举有关的合同,”@IBKR的托马斯·佩得菲在即将推出的预测市场“ForecastEx”上说。“他们认为它可能会影响选举。那些有很多钱的人可能会通过将合同派生到不合理的水平来影响选举。”

——CNBC的“Last Call”(@LastCallCNBC)2024年6月27日

Why It Matters: In May, the CFTC voted to formally reject event contracts based on political activity. This decision was aimed at protecting U.S. customers from platforms that enable such trading, following a prolonged legal battle with firms offering these services.

为什么它很重要:5月份,CFTC投票正式拒绝了基于政治活动的事件合同。此决定旨在保护美国客户免受从事这种交易的平台的影响,这是在与提供这些服务的公司长期的法律斗争之后做出的。

Prediction platforms such as PredictIt, Polymarket, Zeitgeist, and Kalshi, which are popular in crypto circles, provide users the chance to buy contracts on actual event outcomes, including elections and policy developments. The proposed rule would prohibit contracts on political contests, awards contests, and game outcomes for U.S.-regulated companies. The proposal still needs to pass through a 60-day public comment period and a process to approve a final rule.

预测平台(如PredictIt、Polymarket、Zeitgeist和Kalshi)在加密货币领域很受欢迎,它们为用户提供了购买与实际事件结果相关的合同的机会,包括选举和政策制定。拟议的规则将禁止美国监管公司的政治竞选、奖项竞赛和游戏结果合同。该提案仍需要通过60天的公开评论期和批准最终规则的过程。

Just days after the CFTC's vote, Polymarket secured $70 million in funding in a round led by billionaire investor Peter Thiel's Founders Fund and included other notable backers such as Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin.

就在CFTC投票后的几天,Polymarket获得了7000万美元的融资,由亿万富翁投资者彼得·蒂尔的创业基金领投,还包括以太坊联合创始人维塔利克·布特林等其他知名投资者。

Recently, Goldman Sachs revised its year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 5,600 from the previous 5,200. Analysts pointed out that the U.S. election poses a significant risk to the S&P 500 level, with increased index volatility during the election period. However, following the election, volatility typically decreases and the S&P 500 index tends to recover, often reaching an even higher level.

最近,高盛将标普500指数的年终目标从之前的5200上调至5600。分析师指出,美国大选对标普500指数构成了重大风险,在选举期间,指数波动性增加。然而,选举后,波动性通常会降低,标普500指数往往会恢复,并经常达到更高的水平。

Price Action: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 Index, gained 15.42% so far this year. At the time of writing, it was trading 0.14% lower at $544.73 after it closed at $545.5 on Wednesday, according to Benzinga Pro.

价格行动:追踪标普500指数的SPDR标普500 ETF信托基金(纽交所:SPY)今年迄今已上涨15.42%。在撰写本文时,它正在以544.73美元的价格交易,较周三收盘价545.5美元略有下跌,据Benzinga Pro报道。

Image via MidJourney

图片由MidJourney提供

This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Pooja Rajkumari

本报道使用Benzinga Neuro生成,并由Pooja Rajkumari编辑

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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