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Investing in Walker & Dunlop (NYSE:WD) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 93% Gain

Investing in Walker & Dunlop (NYSE:WD) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 93% Gain

如果5年前投资沃克与邓洛普(纽交所:WD),你的收益将高达93%。
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 06:34

If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (NYSE:WD) share price is up 71% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 19%.

如果你购买并持有一只股票多年,你希望获得利润。更好的是,你希望看到股价上涨超过市场平均水平。不幸的是,对于股东来说,沃克与邓洛普公司(NYSE: WD)的股价在过去五年中上涨71%,但这低于市场回报。仅看过去一年,该股票上涨了19%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然有效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但被证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是看一个公司的股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的交互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Walker & Dunlop actually saw its EPS drop 13% per year.

在五年的股价增长期间,沃克与邓洛普的每股收益实际上每年下降了13%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

实际上,投资者似乎并没有关注EPS。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得关注其他指标。

On the other hand, Walker & Dunlop's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 7.6% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

另一方面,沃克与邓洛普的营业收入以7.6%的复合增长率稳步增长,最近五年。在这种情况下,该公司可能牺牲了当前每股收益来推动增长。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:WD Earnings and Revenue Growth June 27th 2024
纽交所: WD收益和营收增长 2024年6月27日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Walker & Dunlop's TSR for the last 5 years was 93%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。虽然股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折扣的资本筹集或拆分的利益。可以说,TSR为股票产生的回报提供了更全面的图片。碰巧的是,沃克与邓洛普过去5年的TSR为93%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Walker & Dunlop provided a TSR of 22% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 14% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Walker & Dunlop that you should be aware of.

沃克与邓洛普在过去12个月内提供了22%的TSR。但该回报低于市场。好消息是,这仍然是收益,而且实际上比过去五年的平均收益率14%要好。随着业务基本面的改善,回报可能会提高。虽然考虑市场状况可能对股价产生不同的影响非常值得,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们已经确定了沃克与邓洛普的4个警告信号,你应该注意。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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