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Bitcoin 'Downside Risk' Looms Yet Again In July: JPMorgan

Bitcoin 'Downside Risk' Looms Yet Again In July: JPMorgan

摩根大通:七月比特币仍存在下行风险
Benzinga ·  06/27 07:49

JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) analysts are predicting a potential bump in the road for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) prices this July.

摩根大通(纽交所:JPM)的分析师们预测,比特币(数字货币:BTC)价格可能在今年7月出现震荡。

What Happened: Their report, released Wednesday, highlights the upcoming repayments to creditors of defunct crypto exchange Mt. Gox as a source of downward pressure on the market.

发生了什么:周三发布的报告突显了即将向倒闭的加密交易所Mt.Gox的债权人支付的款项可能成为市场下行压力的来源。

"A similar downside risk looms in July with Mt. Gox creditors," the report states, led by analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, according to The Block.

“ Mt.Gox债权人在7月面临类似的下行风险,”报告指出,由分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou领导,根据The Block。

This concern stems from the expectation that some creditors will sell a portion of their recovered Bitcoin.

这种担忧源于市场预期,一些债权人将出售他们恢复的一部分比特币。

The analysts point to the recent distribution of crypto assets to Gemini Earn product creditors as a precedent.

分析师指出,最近向Gemini Earn产品债权人分发加密资产的情况可以作为先例。

After receiving their holdings in late May, these creditors, presumed to be mostly retail investors, likely engaged in some selling, according to JPMorgan.

根据摩根大通的说法,这些债权人在5月下旬收到他们的股份后,可能进行了一些卖出操作。

This aligns with the observed decrease in Bitcoin prices since the May 29 distribution.

这与5月29日分配以来比特币价格下降的观察结果相一致。

Mt. Gox creditors stand to receive a significant amount of Bitcoin – an estimated 142,000 coins, valued at roughly $9 billion currently.

Mt.Gox的债权人有望获得大量比特币 - 估计价值约90亿美元的142,000枚硬币。

While the repayment deadline extends to October, JPMorgan expects most to occur in July.

尽管还有到10月的还款期限,但摩根大通预计大部分在7月完成。

"Assuming most of the liquidations by Mt. Gox creditors take place in July, [that] creates a trajectory where crypto prices come under further pressure in July, but start rebounding from August onwards," the report suggests.

报告建议:“假设Mt.Gox债权人的大部分清算在7月进行,则会产生加密货币价格在7月进一步下跌,但从8月开始反弹的轨迹。”

Benzinga future of digital assets conference

Also Read: Ethereum ETF Inflows Could Be Up To 50% Of Bitcoin ETF Inflows: Galaxy Research

还阅读:Galaxy Research:以太坊ETF流入可能达到比特币ETF流入的50%

Why It Matters: A potential silver lining emerges later in the year.

为什么这很重要:在今年晚些时候,可能会出现一线希望。

FTX, another bankrupt crypto exchange, is also expected to make creditor repayments in the coming months.

另一家破产的加密交易所FTX也预计在未来几个月内向债权人支付款项。

Unlike Mt. Gox, these repayments will be in cash, not cryptocurrency.

与Mt. Gox不同,这些还款将以现金而不是加密货币的形式进行。

JPMorgan analysts believe these cash injections could buoy the market, particularly as crypto-focused creditors might reinvest the funds back into digital assets.

摩根大通的分析师们相信,这些现金注入可能会支撑市场,特别是因为以加密货币为中心的债权人可能会将资金重新投资到数字资产中。

"The problem for crypto markets is that there is likely a gap of around three months between potential Mt. Gox creditor liquidations in July and FTX creditor reinvestments in October/November," the report concludes.

报告总结道:“对于加密市场来说,问题在于可能在7月份的Mt. Gox债权人清算和10月/11月FTX债权人重新投资之间存在大约三个月的差距。”

The Benzinga Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19 offers a valuable opportunity to gain insights from industry leaders and navigate these dynamic market shifts.

Benzinga数字资产未来活动将于11月19日举行,提供了一个宝贵的机会,可以从行业领袖那里获得见解,以应对这些动态市场转换。

This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

此内容部分使用人工智能工具生成,并由Benzinga编辑审查和发布。

Image: Shutterstock

图片:shutterstock

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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