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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)?

股票下跌,但基本面坚实:纽交所Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 08:17

With its stock down 6.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Devon Energy's ROE today.

戴文能源(NYSE:DVN)过去三个月股价下跌了6.9%,很容易忽略。然而,对其健康的财务状况进行更深入的了解可能会让您重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常驱动着长期的市场结果,该公司值得关注。特别是,我们将关注戴文能源的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(净资产收益率)是股东需考虑的一个重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本被有效地再投资的效果如何。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Devon Energy is:

所以根据以上公式,戴文能源的ROE为:

27% = US$3.4b ÷ US$12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

27% = 34亿美元 ÷ 120亿美元(截至2024年3月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.27.

“回报”是指公司过去一年的收益。这意味着该公司为其股东每投资1美元,可以创造0.27美元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一种指标。根据公司再投资或“保留”的这些利润的多少以及效率如何,我们能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。总体来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,roe和盈利“保留”高的公司比不具备这些属性的公司增长率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Devon Energy's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

戴文能源的盈利增长和27%的ROE的侧面比较

To begin with, Devon Energy has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 18% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. So, the substantial 48% net income growth seen by Devon Energy over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

首先,戴文能源具有相当高的ROE,这很有趣。其次,与该行业报告的平均ROE为18%的比较也未被我们忽视。因此,戴文能源在过去五年中实现的可观的48%净利润增长并不令人过分惊讶。

We then compared Devon Energy's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 38% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将戴文能源的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,很高兴看到该公司的增长率比同一5年期内38%的行业增长率要高。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:DVN Past Earnings Growth June 27th 2024
NYSE:DVN过去收益增长情况(截至2024年6月27日)

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is DVN worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether DVN is currently mispriced by the market.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者需要判断接下来预期的盈利增长是否已经蕴含在股价中,以此来判断股票是否跌宕起伏。戴文能源今天的价值是多少?我们免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图表可以帮助您了解戴文能源是否被市场目前错价。

Is Devon Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

戴文能源是否能够高效利用其利润?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 50% (implying that it keeps only 50% of profits) for Devon Energy suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

戴文能源高达50%的三年中位数派息比率(意味着其只留下了50%的利润)表明即使它将大部分收益返还给股东,其增长也不会受到阻碍。

Besides, Devon Energy has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 26% over the next three years. Still forecasts suggest that Devon Energy's future ROE will drop to 19% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to decrease. This suggests that there could be other factors could driving the anticipated decline in the company's ROE.

此外,戴文能源已经连续十年或更长时间支付股息。这表明公司致力于与股东分享利润。我们的最新分析数据显示,未来三年该公司的派息比率预计将降至26%。尽管预计该公司的派息比率将下降,但预测仍表明戴文能源未来的ROE将下降至19%。这表明可能有其他因素推动了公司ROE预期下降。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

On the whole, we feel that Devon Energy's performance has been quite good. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们认为戴文能源的表现相当不错。特别是,其高ROE非常值得注意,也可以解释其相当可观的盈利增长。然而,该公司保留了一小部分利润。这意味着该公司能够在其利润被分红派息的情况下实现盈利增长,所以这并不太糟糕。话虽如此,研究最新的分析师预测后,我们发现尽管该公司过去实现了盈利增长,但分析师预计其未来的盈利将会下降。这些分析师预测是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于该公司的基本面?点击这里进入我们的分析师预测页面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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