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Is Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle (SZSE:000913) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle (SZSE:000913) Using Too Much Debt?

钱江摩托(SZSE:000913)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 18:24

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000913) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯曾经说得好:“与其担心股价波动,我更担心的是永久性损失的可能性……所有实际的投资者都这样认为。”当你考虑一家公司的风险程度时,查看其资产负债表是非常自然的,因为债务往往与企业衰败有关。我们可以看到,钱江摩托(股票代码:SZSE:000913)在业务中使用了债务,但股东是否应该担心其债务使用情况?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业开始无法付清其债务,不管是通过新的资金还是自由现金流。如果情况真的不好,放贷人可以夺取企业的控制权。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是一家公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东,以控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它代替某个公司能够以高回报率重新投资的稀释时。考虑企业使用多少债务的第一件事是看看其现金和债务的情况。

How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Carry?

钱江摩托承担了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle had debt of CN¥209.1m, up from CN¥17.8m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.41b in cash, leading to a CN¥5.20b net cash position.

下面的图片可以放大,显示2024年3月份钱江摩托的债务为2,0910万元人民币,比一年前的1,780万元人民币增加。但另一方面,它还持有54,100万元人民币的现金,形成了52亿元人民币的净现金头寸。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000913 Debt to Equity History June 27th 2024
SZSE:000913的负债权益历史记录

How Strong Is Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's Balance Sheet?

钱江摩托的资产负债表强吗?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle had liabilities of CN¥3.22b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.51b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.41b and CN¥622.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.30b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,钱江摩托有32.2亿元人民币的负债到期,超过12个月的负债为15.1亿元人民币。另一方面,它有54.1亿元人民币的现金和6,220万元人民币的应收款项在一年内到期。所以它可以自豪地拥有比其他多一亿三千万元人民币的流动资产。负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种过剩的流动性资产表明钱江摩托在处理债务方面是很谨慎的。正因为它拥有大量资产,所以不太可能遇到与其债权人的麻烦。总之,钱江摩托拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有负债负担!

On the other hand, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's EBIT dived 17%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一方面,钱江摩托的净息税前利润下降了17%。如果这种表现经常发生,股票可能会陷入困境。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务的最多。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定钱江摩托是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。如果想了解专业人士的想法,可以查看免费报告分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后,企业需要有自由现金流来偿还债务,会计利润是不能胜任的。虽然钱江摩托在其资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注其将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其积累(或侵蚀)现金的速度。在过去的三年中,钱江摩托创造了相当强劲的自由现金流,金额相当于其EBIT的90%,超出了我们的预期。这使得它在还债方面具有非常强的实力。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle has net cash of CN¥5.20b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 90% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥308m. So we don't think Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle .

虽然我们理解那些担心债务的投资者,但你应该记住,钱江摩托拥有52亿元人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。最后,它把90%的EBIt转换为自由现金流,带来了3,080万元人民币。所以我们不认为钱江摩托的债务使用是冒险的,当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点,但并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内。因此,你应该了解我们已经发现钱江摩托的2个警告信号。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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