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Here's Why Shandong Yulong Gold (SHSE:601028) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Shandong Yulong Gold (SHSE:601028) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

为什么玉龙股份(SHSE:601028)能够负责任地管理其债务,原因在这里
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 19:04

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shandong Yulong Gold Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601028) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

认识到最大的投资风险不在价格波动,而在于可能造成的资本损失,这是伯克希尔·哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金管理人李录的看法。因此,可以看出明智的投资者注重的不是企业的价格波动而是债务风险。就像其他公司一样,Shandong Yulong Gold Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601028)采用了债务,但真正问题在于这债务是否使该公司具有风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当企业无法通过增加资本或利用自身的现金流进行轻松还债时,负债才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的本质是“创造性破坏”的过程,失败的企业会被银行家无情地清算。然而,更频繁(但仍具有昂贵代价)的情况是公司必须以折扣价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以加强其资产负债表。当然,很多公司使用负债来资助增长,没有任何负面影响。考虑公司的现金和债务的第一步是将二者考虑在一起。

What Is Shandong Yulong Gold's Net Debt?

Shandong Yulong Gold的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Shandong Yulong Gold had debt of CN¥1.75b, up from CN¥1.17b in one year. But it also has CN¥1.92b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥175.4m net cash.

下面的图片可以放大查看,在2024年3月,Shandong Yulong Gold的债务为1.75亿人民币,相比一年前的1.17亿人民币有所增加。但它也有1.92亿人民币的现金来抵消债务,因此它的净现金为1754万元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601028 Debt to Equity History June 27th 2024
SHSE:601028负债与股本的历史记录截至2024年6月27日

A Look At Shandong Yulong Gold's Liabilities

了解Shandong Yulong Gold的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shandong Yulong Gold had liabilities of CN¥4.37b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥760.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.92b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.92b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.29b.

根据最近的资产负债表,Shandong Yulong Gold在12个月内有437亿人民币的负债,并有7603万元人民币的负债超过12个月。抵消这些义务,它有1.92亿人民币的现金,以及价值1.92亿人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和1290万元人民币。

Since publicly traded Shandong Yulong Gold shares are worth a total of CN¥9.50b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Shandong Yulong Gold also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由于公开交易的Shandong Yulong Gold股票总值为9.5亿人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不会对公司造成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们当然会建议股东继续监控资产负债表。尽管确实存在值得注意的负债,但Shandong Yulong Gold也比债务多一些现金,所以我们相当有信心它可以安全地管理其债务。

On top of that, Shandong Yulong Gold grew its EBIT by 41% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shandong Yulong Gold's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,Shandong Yulong Gold去年增长了41%的税前息税折旧摊销(Ebit)利润,这种增长将使其更容易处理其债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了许多关于负债的问题。但是,重要的是未来的收益,而不是其他,将决定Shandong Yulong Gold维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专家的观点,你可能会发现这篇免费的关于分析师盈利预测的报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Shandong Yulong Gold may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Shandong Yulong Gold burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,虽然税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受墨宝。Shandong Yulong Gold可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但查看企业如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。在过去的三年中,Shandong Yulong Gold烧掉了大量现金。虽然投资者毫无疑问地期望这种情况在适当的时候会发生逆转,但这显然意味着其债务使用更加危险。

Summing Up

总之

Although Shandong Yulong Gold's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥175.4m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 41% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Shandong Yulong Gold's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Yulong Gold you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

虽然Shandong Yulong Gold的资产负债表不是特别强大,由于总负债,但它净现金达到了1754万元人民币,这显然是个积极的信号。而且,它令人印象深刻的税前息税折旧摊销(Ebit)利润去年增长了41%。因此,我们对Shandong Yulong Gold的债务使用没有问题。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表上-与此截然相反。例如,我们发现Shandong Yulong Gold有 2个预警信号应该引起您的关注,其中1个信号非常重要。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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