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TravelSky Technology (HKG:696) Could Easily Take On More Debt

TravelSky Technology (HKG:696) Could Easily Take On More Debt

TravelSky科技(HKG:696)可以轻松承担更多债务。
Simply Wall St ·  06/28 00:07

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that TravelSky Technology Limited (HKG:696) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,TravelSky Technology Limited(HKG: 696)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is TravelSky Technology's Net Debt?

TravelSky Technology的净负债是多少

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 TravelSky Technology had debt of CN¥951.8m, up from CN¥200.2m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥11.0b in cash, leading to a CN¥10.1b net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看更多细节,该图片显示,截至2023年12月,TravelSky Technology的债务为95180万元人民币,高于一年内的20020万元人民币。但另一方面,它也有110元人民币的现金,净现金状况为101元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:696 Debt to Equity History June 28th 2024
SEHK: 696 2024 年 6 月 28 日债务与股本的比率记录

How Strong Is TravelSky Technology's Balance Sheet?

旅天科技的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that TravelSky Technology had liabilities of CN¥6.19b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥288.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥11.0b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.74b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥11.3b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,TravelSky Technology的负债为61.9元人民币,一年后到期的负债为28800万元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有110元人民币的现金以及价值67.4元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有 113元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that TravelSky Technology's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that TravelSky Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过剩的流动性很好地表明TravelSky Technology的资产负债表几乎和诺克斯堡一样强劲。考虑到这一事实,我们认为其资产负债表像牛一样强劲。简而言之,TravelSky Technology的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

Better yet, TravelSky Technology grew its EBIT by 299% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TravelSky Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更好的是,去年,TravelSky Technology的息税前利润增长了299%,这是一个了不起的改善。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定TravelSky Technology未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. TravelSky Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, TravelSky Technology actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。TravelSky Technology的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,TravelSky Technology产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。当Daft Punk音乐会的节拍下降时,这种强劲的现金转换让我们和观众一样兴奋。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that TravelSky Technology has net cash of CN¥10.1b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 144% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥390m. The bottom line is that TravelSky Technology's use of debt is absolutely fine. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in TravelSky Technology, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,TravelSky Technology的净现金为101元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的144%转换为自由现金流,带来了-39000万加元的收入。最重要的是,TravelSky Technology使用债务绝对没问题。随着时间的推移,股价往往遵循每股收益,因此,如果你对TravelSky Technology感兴趣,你很可能想点击这里查看其每股收益历史的互动图表。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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