Those Who Invested in Huagong Tech (SZSE:000988) Five Years Ago Are up 94%
Those Who Invested in Huagong Tech (SZSE:000988) Five Years Ago Are up 94%
While Huagong Tech Company Limited (SZSE:000988) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 11% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. It has returned a market beating 91% in that time. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 21% decline over the last twelve months.
虽然华工科技股份有限公司(SZSE:000988)的股东可能总体上感到高兴,但股票最近表现不佳,股价在上季度下跌了11%。 但这并不改变在过去五年中收益令人满意的事实。在这段时间内,它的回报率为市场平均水平高出91%。不幸的是,并非所有股东都将其长期持有,因此请为在过去12个月中损失21%的股东感到惋惜。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否和股东的回报率相符。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是反映公司价值的合理方式。考虑市场对公司的看法如何发生变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价的变动进行比较。股票价格并不总是反映公司价值的合理方式沃伦·巴菲特曾称,股票价格并不总是合理地反映了企业的价值。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Over half a decade, Huagong Tech managed to grow its earnings per share at 25% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 14% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在半个十年的时间里,华工科技成功地实现了每股收益以每年25%的增长率增长。 EPS的增长比同期14%的每年股价上涨更为令人印象深刻。因此,市场并不那么热衷于这支股票。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,此处提供。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Huagong Tech the TSR over the last 5 years was 94%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考虑到任何给定股票的总股东回报率和股价回报率都很重要。虽然股价回报率只反映了股价的变化,但TSR包括股息价值(假设它们已被再投资)以及任何折价融资或剥离的利益。可以说,TSR提供了一种更全面的股票回报图景。我们注意到,华工科技在过去5年中的TSR为94%,高于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, Huagong Tech shareholders did even worse, losing 21% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 14% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Huagong Tech has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
尽管整个市场在十二个月内下跌了约16%,华工科技的股东表现更糟糕,损失了21%(包括股息)。即使在下跌市场中,某些股票也不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要关注基本发展情况。好消息是,长期股东赚了钱,半个十年的年均收益为14%。如果基本数据继续表明存在长期可持续增长,目前的抛售可能值得考虑。当然,考虑到市场条件可能对股价产生的不同影响是值得的,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,承担风险 - 华工科技有1个我们认为您应该注意的警告信号。
Of course Huagong Tech may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,华工科技可能不是最好的股票,因此您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股票收藏。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com