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Nike Hits 52-Week Low: Can The Swoosh Rebound?

Nike Hits 52-Week Low: Can The Swoosh Rebound?

耐克一度创52周新低:大厂能否反弹?
Benzinga ·  07/01 08:59

Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE) just sprinted past a new 52-week low, dipping to $74.55 during day trading on Friday. With the stock down 33.32% year-over-year and 30.58% year-to-date, investors are wondering if the iconic brand has lost its footing.

耐克股份有限公司(纽交所:NKE)创下新的 52 周低点,周五的日间交易中跌至 74.55 美元。随着股价同比下降 33.32%、年初至今下跌 30.58%,投资者们想知道这个标志性品牌是否已经失去了脚步。

Nike Q4 Earnings Blues

耐克 Q4 业绩不佳

The recent sell-off comes on the heels of Nike's fourth-quarter earnings call, where CFO Matthew Friend painted a less-than-rosy picture for fiscal 2025. The company now expects a mid-single-digit decline in reported revenue, a sharp pivot from previous growth projections.

最近的抛售行为是在耐克 Q4 业绩会后发生的,首席财务官马修·弗兰恩在会上为 2025 财年绘制了一个不太乐观的前景。公司现在预计报告的营业收入将下降 mid-single-digit,这是与此前的增长预期形成鲜明反差。

Nike anticipates a 10% revenue drop in the first quarter, driven by aggressive management of classic footwear lines, ongoing challenges in digital sales, subdued wholesale orders, a softer outlook in Greater China and several timing-related factors.

耐克预计第一季度营业收入将下降 10%,原因是管理经典的鞋子系列、数字销售的持续挑战、软化的批发订单、大中华地区前景不乐观以及几个与时机有关的因素。

Adding to the woes, foreign exchange headwinds are expected to shave off one point from the year's revenue.

除此之外,汇率期货风险也有望从今年的营业收入中刮掉一个百分点。

Read Also: Nike Q4 Earnings Highlights: Revenue Miss, EPS Beat, 'Taking Our Near-Term Challenges Head-On'

阅读更多内容:耐克 Q4 业绩亮点:营收不及预期,每股收益超过预期,“迎接我们的短期挑战”。

In response, a slew of analysts, including those from Citigroup, Wells Fargo, HSBC, Goldman Sachs, Barclays, BofA Securities, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and Wedbush, have slashed their price targets. Despite the lowered targets, the average analyst price target of $107.25 still suggests a potential 35%+ upside from current levels.

作为回应,包括花旗集团、富国银行、汇丰银行、高盛、巴克莱银行、美国银行证券、摩根大通、大摩资源LOF和Wedbush在内的一大批分析师都下调了其价格目标。尽管目标已经下调,但平均分析师价值目标 107.25 美元仍表明该股有潜力从当前水平上涨超过 35%。

Nike Stock – Technical Signals Are Bearish

耐克股票技术信号看淡

Nike's technical indicators are waving red flags. The stock is currently trading below its 5, 20 and 50-day exponential moving averages, signaling a strongly bearish trend.

耐克的技术指标发出了红色预警信号,目前股价低于 5、20、50 日指数移动平均线,显示出强烈的看跌趋势。

Chart: Benzinga Pro

图表:Benzinga Pro

With the share price at $75.37, well below key moving averages—$90.46 (8-day), $93.11 (20-day), $92.94 (50-day) and $100.10 (200-day)—the outlook appears grim.

股价已经跌至 75.37 美元,远低于重要的移动均线——8 日均线 90.46 美元、20 日均线 93.11 美元、50 日均线 92.94 美元和 200 日均线 100.10 美元,显示出前景黯淡。

Chart: Benzinga Pro

图表:Benzinga Pro

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator at -2.40 further confirms the bearish momentum. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 18.07 suggests the stock is oversold, typically a precursor to a potential rebound, but also a sign of significant selling pressure.

移动平均线聚散指标(MACD)指标为-2.40,进一步确认了看跌的动量。此外,相对强弱指数(RSI)为18.07,表明该股被超卖,通常是潜在反弹的前兆,但也是重大的卖压信号。

Bollinger Bands add to the bearish sentiment with the 25-day bands ranging from $82.23 to $103.83, with Nike stock price moving towards the lower bearish band. Also, the widening bands indicate that price volatility for this stock has increased.

博林格带加剧了看淡情绪,25 天博林格带范围从 82.23 到 103.83 美元,与此同时,耐克股价趋向于较低的看跌带。此外,加宽的带表明该股价的波动性增加。

Can Nike Bounce Back?

耐克会恢复元气吗?

While the current technical signals are decidedly bearish, the company's strong brand and history of innovation could provide a foundation for a comeback. If Nike can navigate its short-term challenges and capitalize on its strategic initiatives, there may still be light at the end of the tunnel.

尽管目前的技术信号明显看淡,但公司强大的品牌和创新历史可能为回归提供基础。如果耐克能够应对短期的挑战并利用战略计划,仍然可能破茧成蝶。

For now, the stock's journey toward recovery hinges on overcoming significant headwinds and proving that it can bounce back stronger. Investors will be closely watching Nike's next moves to see if it can reclaim its stride.

目前,股票复苏之路取决于克服重大逆风并证明自己能够更强大地反弹。投资者将密切关注耐克的下一步动向,以确定其是否能够找回步伐。

  • Nike Analysts Sour On Retailer's Short-Term Prospects Following Poor Outlook: 'No Quick Rebound'
  • 耐克的短期前景不佳,分析师们对零售商表示失望:“没有快速反弹”

Photo: Shutterstock

Photo: shutterstock

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