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Is Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) A Risky Investment?

Is Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) A Risky Investment?

okta(纳斯达克:okta)是否是一项冒险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 08:57

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,Okta, Inc.(纳斯达克股票代码:OKTA)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Okta Carry?

Okta 背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Okta had US$1.16b of debt in April 2024, down from US$1.83b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has US$2.32b in cash, leading to a US$1.17b net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示Okta在2024年4月有11.6亿美元的债务,低于一年前的18.3亿美元。但另一方面,它也有23.2亿美元的现金,净现金状况为11.7亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:OKTA Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024
NASDAQGS: OKTA 债券与股本的比率历史 2024 年 7 月 1 日

How Healthy Is Okta's Balance Sheet?

Okta 的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Okta had liabilities of US$1.69b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$2.32b in cash and US$330.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$352.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Okta的负债为16.9亿美元,一年后到期的负债为13.2亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有23.2亿美元的现金和3.30亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出3.52亿美元。

Since publicly traded Okta shares are worth a very impressive total of US$15.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Okta boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Okta's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

由于公开交易的Okta股票总价值令人印象深刻,为157亿美元,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管负债值得关注,但Okta拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定Okta未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Okta reported revenue of US$2.4b, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

在过去的12个月中,Okta公布的收入为24亿美元,增长了20%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。股东们可能对它能够实现盈利抱有疑虑。

So How Risky Is Okta?

那么 Okta 有多危险?

While Okta lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow US$578m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. The good news for Okta shareholders is that its revenue growth is strong, making it easier to raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Okta has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

尽管Okta在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上蒙受了损失,但它实际上创造了5.78亿美元的正自由现金流。因此,从面值来看,考虑到净现金状况,我们认为该股在短期内风险不大。对Okta股东来说,好消息是其收入增长强劲,因此在需要时更容易筹集资金。但这并不能改变我们对股票有风险的看法。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如-Okta 有 2 个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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