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Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

氯碱b股(600618)股票一直下跌,但基本面看起来不错:市场在未来会矫正股价吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 18:03

Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618) has had a rough month with its share price down 5.2%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's ROE.

氯碱b股(SHSE:600618)的股价已经下跌了5.2%,但是该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势一致。在本文中,我们决定关注氯碱b股的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是检验公司增加其价值和管理投资者资金有效性的测试。简而言之,ROE显示每个美元的利润与其股东的投资有关。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical is:

因此,根据上述公式,氯碱b股的roe为:

9.2% = CN¥823m ÷ CN¥8.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

9.2% = CN¥82300万 ÷ CN¥89亿(基于最近12个月截至2024年3月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.09 in profit.

‘回报’是指公司过去一年的收益。一个概念化的方式是,对于每加元股东的资本,该公司就会获得0.09元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们学到了ROE如何评估公司有效地产生利润。根据公司再投资或“保留”的这些利润的多少以及其如何有效地进行再投资,我们可以评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,ROE高、利润保留高的公司,比没有这些属性的公司增长率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's Earnings Growth And 9.2% ROE

氯碱b股收益增长和9.2%roe的并列比较

On the face of it, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.3% which we definitely can't overlook. However, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 4.4%. Remember, the company's ROE is quite low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to stay low.

在表面上,氯碱b股的roe并不太值得一谈。尽管仔细研究显示该公司的roe高于行业平均水平6.3%,这是我们绝对不能忽视的。然而,氯碱b股的五年净收入增长率相当低,平均仅为4.4%。请记住,该公司的roe本来就很低,只是高于行业平均水平,因此这可能是造成盈利增长保持低位的因素之一。

We then compared Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 7.8% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将氯碱b股的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,并发现该公司的增长数字低于同一5年期间7.8%的平均行业增长率,这令人有些担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600618 Past Earnings Growth July 1st 2024
SHSE:600618过去的盈利增长(2024年7月1日)

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。接下来,投资者需要确定预期的盈利增长或缺乏盈利增长是否已经融入股票价格。这有助于他们确定股票是面临光明还是黯淡的未来。与其他公司相比,氯碱b股是否公平值?这3个估值指标可能会有所帮助。

Is Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

氯碱b股是否高效地再投资其利润?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 26% (implying that the company retains the remaining 74% of its income), Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管拥有中等三年中位数的股息支付比率26%(表明公司留下其收入的其余74%),但氯碱b股的盈利增长却相当低。因此,在这方面可能会有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,氯碱b股已经在至少十年的时间内支付了股息,这意味着即使没有盈利增长也要支付股息。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们确实认为氯碱b股具有一些积极的特点。尽管我们对中等roe和高再投资率没有看到盈利增长的缺乏感到失望。但我们相信可能存在一些外部因素对业务产生了负面影响。虽然我们不会完全忽略该公司,但我们会尝试确定该业务的风险程度,以便更明智地做出决策。您可以通过访问我们所识别的氯碱b股的2种风险来了解情况。风险仪表板在浏览完所有相关因素确定股票购买价格后,ROE是一个有用的公司质量指标。此外,还需要考虑其他因素,例如未来盈利增长以及未来需要投入多少投资。因此,我认为值得查看这份免费的详细收益、营收和现金流图表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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