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Is China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd (SZSE:000758) A Risky Investment?

Is China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd (SZSE:000758) A Risky Investment?

中国有色金属行业板块的外方工程建设有限公司(SZSE:000758)是否存在投资风险?
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 18:54

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and Construction Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000758) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

当David Iben说'波动性不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失'时,他说得非常好。当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能会导致灭亡。与许多其他公司一样,中国有色金属建设股份有限公司(SZSE:000758)利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松地偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自有现金流。资本主义的本质是创造性破坏的过程,失败的企业被银行家无情地清算。不过,更常见的情况(但仍然痛苦的)是它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久地稀释股东权益。当然,很多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,首先要看现金和债务的总和。

What Is China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's Net Debt?

中国有色金属建设股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd had debt of CN¥4.80b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥6.37b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥3.65b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.14b.

下面的图像可以单击以获得更详细的信息,它显示中国有色金属建设股份有限公司在2024年3月底有CN¥48亿的债务,一年减少了CN¥63.7亿。然而,由于它有CN¥36.5亿的现金储备,其净债务较少,约为CN¥11.4亿。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000758 Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024
SZSE:000758资产负债率历史记录2024年7月1日

A Look At China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's Liabilities

看看中国有色金属建设股份有限公司的负债情况

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd had liabilities of CN¥7.46b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.00b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.65b in cash and CN¥3.17b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.64b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到中国有色金属建设股份有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为CN¥74.6亿,超过12个月到期的负债为CN¥30亿。相对抵消的是,它有CN¥36.5亿的现金和CN¥31.7亿的应收账款,这些应该在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额超过其现金和短期应收账款约CN¥36.4亿。

This deficit isn't so bad because China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd is worth CN¥10.3b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

这个赤字并不糟糕,因为中国有色金属建设股份有限公司价值CN¥103亿,因此如果需要,它很可能可以筹集足够的资本来支撑其财务状况。但我们一定要留意其债务是否带来了太高的风险。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们使用两个主要的比率来告诉我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其利润前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用的次数(或其利息覆盖率,简称)。因此,我们考虑与折旧和摊销费用相关的盈利以及没有相关费用的盈利相对于债务水平。

China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd grew its EBIT by 49% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

中国有色金属建设股份有限公司的净债务只有1.1倍的EBITDA。而它的EBIt轻松地覆盖了其利息支出,是其大小的10.3倍。因此,你可以说它受到的债务威胁,就像大象受到老鼠威胁一样。此外,中国有色金属建设股份有限公司过去12个月中的EBIt增长了49%,这种增长将使其更容易应对债务。当你分析债务时,财务状况表显然是要重点关注的领域。但你无法完全孤立地看待债务,因为中国有色金属建设股份有限公司需要利润来偿还债务。因此,如果你渴望了解更多关于其收益的信息,不妨查看这张长期收益趋势图。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能以纸质利润支付债务;它需要冰冷的现金。因此,逻辑的下一步是看看EBIt的比例与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,中国有色金属建设股份有限公司实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIt多。在保持对贷款人的好感方面,没有比流入现金更好的了。

Our View

我们的观点

The good news is that China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's earnings per share history for free.

好消息是中国有色金属建设股份有限公司证明了将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力,让我们像一只蓬松的小狗让幼儿欢欣鼓舞一样高兴。而好消息还未停止,因为其EBIt增长率也支持这种印象!从更宏观的角度来看,我们认为中国有色金属建设股份有限公司的债务使用似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担心。尽管债务确实带来风险,但明智地利用它也可以带来更高的股本回报率。在最重要的指标之上,我们认为跟踪每股收益增长的速度至关重要,如果有的话。如果你也意识到了这一点,那么你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看这个交互式图表,了解中国有色金属建设股份有限公司的每股盈利历史。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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