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Earnings Are Growing at Columbus McKinnon (NASDAQ:CMCO) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects

Earnings Are Growing at Columbus McKinnon (NASDAQ:CMCO) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects

哥伦布-麦金农(纳斯达克代码:CMCO)的收益正在增长,但股东仍不喜欢它的前景。
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 08:01

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Columbus McKinnon Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCO) shareholders, since the share price is down 31% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 18%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 22% in the last 90 days.

对于很多投资者来说,选股的主要目的是创造比整个市场更高的回报。但几乎可以肯定,有时候你会买到低于市场平均回报的股票。不幸的是,这已经是长期持有Columbus McKinnon Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCO)股票的股东们面临的情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了31%,远低于市场收益率的18%左右。近期,股东们的处境甚至更加艰难,股价在过去90天中下跌了22%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,并且投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价的变化情况,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间变化而变化。

Although the share price is down over three years, Columbus McKinnon actually managed to grow EPS by 62% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

虽然股价在过去三年中下跌,但Columbus McKinnon在这段时间内每年成功使每股收益增长了62%。考虑到该股股价反应,有人可能怀疑,在这个时期内每股收益不是业务表现的好指标(也许是由于一次性损失或收益),或者是该公司在过去过于炒作,因此其增长不如预期。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一提的是,在三年的时间里,营业收入实际上年增长了32%,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。很可能需要进一步调查中国儒意控股,因为我们在分析中可能会漏掉一些内容,而这也可能是一个机会。

With a rather small yield of just 0.8% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 12% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Columbus McKinnon more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

考虑到该股仅有0.8%的股息率,我们怀疑该股价并非基于其股息。股票营收在过去三年中实际上增长了12%,因此股价下跌似乎也与营业收入无关。这种分析只是例行公事,但深入研究Columbus McKinnon可能很值得,因为有时候股票价格下跌是不公平的,这可能会带来机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:CMCO Earnings and Revenue Growth July 2nd 2024
纳斯达克:CMCO 2024年7月2日盈利和收入增长

It is of course excellent to see how Columbus McKinnon has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Columbus McKinnon's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

看到Columbus McKinnon多年来增长利润的情况当然很令人兴奋,但未来对于股东来说更加重要。如果你想进一步调查该股票,Columbus McKinnon资产负债表强度的这份免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Columbus McKinnon shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 23%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Columbus McKinnon better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Columbus McKinnon , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

即使包括股息在内,Columbus McKinnon的股东今年下跌了18%,但市场本身上涨了23%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时候也会在12个月的时间内表现不如市场。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个十年的平均亏损3%还要糟糕。总体而言,长期的股价疲软可能是一个不好的标志,尽管反其道而行之的投资者可能希望研究该股票以期扭转局面。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的,但要更好地理解Columbus McKinnon,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险这一永恒的威胁。我们已经发现Columbus McKinnon存在1个警告信号,理解它们应该成为你的投资过程的一部分。

But note: Columbus McKinnon may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:Columbus McKinnon可能不是购买的最佳股票。因此,请查看这个免费的有趣公司列表,其中包括过去的收益和进一步的增长预测。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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