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AI Surge Sparks Fears Of Dot-Com-Like Bubble Burst

AI Surge Sparks Fears Of Dot-Com-Like Bubble Burst

人工智能热潮引发类似于点 com 泡沫破裂的担忧
Benzinga ·  07/02 12:18

The soaring investor interest in artificial intelligence has propelled a rally in U.S. stock markets, but it has also fueled concerns about a potential AI-bubble burst akin to the dotcom-bubble eruption of the late 1990s.

人工智能的投资热情推动了美国股市的涨势,但也引发了人们对潜在的人工智能泡沫破裂的担忧,这类似于上世纪90年代的互联网泡沫爆发。

The excitement over AI in recent weeks has sent the S&P 500 Index, tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), to new highs after gaining more than 50% from an October 2022 low. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite Index, which is tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ), has soared more than 70% since the end of 2022, Reuters reported.

近几周对人工智能的热情推动了S&P 500指数,该指数由SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY)跟踪,经过自2022年10月低点以来的超过50%的涨幅后,创下了新高。同时,纳斯达克综合指数,也由纳指100 ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ)跟踪,在2022年底以来暴涨超过70%,据路透社报道。

Nvidia and a handful of other giant tech stocks are driving the current market, much in the same way that the "Four Horsemen" Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSO), Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL), Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) did nearly three decades ago.

英伟达和其他几家巨头科技股正推动着当前的市场,就像近30年前的"四骑士"思科系统公司(Cisco Systems, Inc.)(纳斯达克: CSO)、戴尔科技公司(Dell Technologies Inc.)(纽约证交所: DELL)、微软公司(Microsoft Corporation)(纳斯达克: MSFT)和英特尔公司(Intel Corporation)(纳斯达克: INTC)曾经做过的一样。

Also Read: Nvidia Supplier's Parent Company Pledges $56B Investment In AI, Chip Tech By 2026 As Competition From Samsung, Micron Heats Up

另外阅读:英伟达供应商的母公司承诺到2026年在人工智能和芯片技术上投资560亿美元,因为来自三星和美光的竞争加剧了。

Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) has skyrocketed 4,300% over the past five years, resembling network equipment producer Cisco's 4,500% surge over five years before it peaked in 2000, according to comparison of the two stocks by global financial services firm BTIG, Reuters reported.

根据全球金融服务公司BTIG对这两只股票进行比较的数据,除了过去五年内英伟达公司的股价飙升了4300%之外,与20世纪90年代达到峰值之前4,500%的网络设备生产商思科相似。

There is a lingering fear that the soaring AI sector will burst just as the dot-com industry did after the Nasdaq Composite quadrupled over three years on the back of the dot-com frenzy but then plummeted 80% from a March 2000 high to an October 2002 low. The S&P 500 doubled, but then lost almost 50% within the same period, according to Reuters.

人们担心,就像纳斯达克在互联网狂潮带动下在三年内翻了四倍,但随后在2000年3月高位到2002年10月低位下跌了80%一样,人工智能板块的上升也会像互联网一样破裂。标普500指数翻了一倍,但在同一时期内几乎损失了50%,据路透社报道。

Mimicking the dot-com surge, the information technology sector has swelled to 32% of the S&P 500's total market value, rivaling a 35% jump in 2000, according to LSEG Datastream.

与2000年35%的快速增长相提并论,信息技术板块已经占据S&P 500总市值的32%,据LSEG Datastream数据。

Today, Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia represent over 20% of the index.

今天,微软、苹果和英伟达占据了指数的超过20%。

However, tech stocks are more modestly valued now than at the peak of the dot-com bubble, trading at 31 times forward earnings, compared to as high as 48 times in 2000, according to Datastream.

但是,与“点COM”泡沫时期的巅峰相比,科技股的估值现在更为适中,市盈率为31倍,而2000年曾高达48倍,根据Datastream的数据。

The difference is clear in the valuations of Nvidia and Cisco, a key provider of products supporting internet infrastructure, whose stock has yet to rescale its peaks of the dotcom boom.

尽管两只股票的股价都飙升,但NVIDIA的股价预测市盈率是40倍,而尚未恢复到“点COM”热潮时期Cisco的预测131倍,根据Datastream数据。

While Nvidia and Cisco stocks have soared, Nvidia trades at 40 times forward earnings estimates, compared to Cisco's 131 level reached in March 2000, according to Datastream.

尽管英伟达和思科股价飙升,但根据Datastream的数据,英伟达的正向预期市盈率倍数为40倍,而思科在2000年3月达到的水平接近131倍。

Price Action: AI stocks and ETFs trended downward for the most part during midday trading on Tuesday.

周二中午交易期间,人工智能股和交易所交易基金大部分都呈下降趋势。

Nvidia has declined 1.78% to $122.09 while Microsoft has dipped 0.3% to $455.36 and Cisco slipped 1.07% to $47.00 at the time of publication.

截至出版时,英伟达下跌1.78%,至122.09美元,微软下跌0.3%,至455.36美元,思科下跌1.07%,至47.00美元。

Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (NASDAQ:BOTZ) fell 0.20%, ROBO Global Robotics and Automation Index ETF (NYSE:ROBO) ticked up 0.26% and iShares Robotics and Artificial Intelligence ETF (NYSE:IRBO) gained 0.34%.

Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (NASDAQ: BOTZ)下跌0.20%,ROBO Global Robotics and Automation Index ETF (NYSE: ROBO)上涨0.26%,iShares Robotics and Artificial Intelligence ETF (NYSE: IRBO)上涨0.34%。

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Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

图像由Midjourney通过人工智能创建。

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