share_log

Returns On Capital At United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have Hit The Brakes

Returns On Capital At United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have Hit The Brakes

联合包裹的资本回报率(NYSE:UPS)已经放缓。
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 14:24

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So, when we ran our eye over United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) trend of ROCE, we liked what we saw.

您知道有一些财务指标可以提供潜在成倍收益的线索吗?首先,我们希望找到一个持续增长的行业板块。如果你看到这个,通常意味着公司有一个很好的商业模式和充足的有利可图的再投资机会。然而,在调查北斗星信息科技(SZSE:002987)后,我们认为它目前的趋势并不符合成倍收益模式。资产回报率:它是什么?资本雇用回报率 (ROCE) 是一种早期趋势,可以用来识别有可能在长期内翻倍增值的股票,然后在此基础上,要寻找一个不断增长的业务板块和行业板块。这告诉我们这是一台复利机器,能够不断地将其收益再投入业务,从而产生更高的回报。因此,在这点上,Materialise (纳斯达克:MTLS) 看起来相当有前途,因为它在资本回报方面的趋势相当不错。资产回报率 = 利息和所得税前收益(EBIT)÷(总资产-流动负债)基本上,这意味着一个公司有盈利的计划,可以继续投资,这是补偿机器的特征。所以,我们观察联合包裹服务的ROCE趋势时,我们喜欢我们看到的东西。

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

资本雇用回报率(ROCE)是什么?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for United Parcel Service:

只是为了澄清,如果您不确定,ROCE是评估公司在其业务中投资的资本上赚取多少税前收入(以百分比计算)的度量标准。分析师使用此公式为联合包裹服务计算。

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.17 = US$8.9b ÷ (US$68b - US$15b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

0.17 = 89亿美元 ÷ (680亿美元 - 150亿美元)在Elevance Health上,我们已经注意到的趋势是相当令人放心的。数据显示,过去五年资产回报率大幅提高至15%。投资所用资产的规模也增加了30%。这表明有很多机会进行内部资本投资,并以更高的速度不断增长,这种组合在多倍增长方面很常见。.

So, United Parcel Service has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Logistics industry average of 11% it's much better.

所以,联合包裹服务的ROCE为17%。从绝对角度来看,这是一个令人满意的回报,但与物流行业平均水平11%相比,表现更好。

roce
NYSE:UPS Return on Capital Employed July 2nd 2024
NYSE:UPS资本雇用回报2024年7月2日

In the above chart we have measured United Parcel Service's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering United Parcel Service for free.

在上面的图表中,我们测量了联合包裹服务以前的ROCE与其以前的表现,但未来可能更重要。如果您愿意,您可以免费查看涵盖联合包裹服务的分析师的预测。

How Are Returns Trending?

综合上述,Cimpress非常有效地提高了其资本利用率所产生的回报。考虑到股票过去五年保持稳定,如果其他指标也不错,则可能存在机会。因此,进一步研究这家公司并确定这些趋势是否会持续是合理的。

The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. The company has consistently earned 17% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 36% in that time. Since 17% is a moderate ROCE though, it's good to see a business can continue to reinvest at these decent rates of return. Over long periods of time, returns like these might not be too exciting, but with consistency they can pay off in terms of share price returns.

ROCE的趋势并不明显,但整体回报还不错。过去五年里,该公司一直保持着17%的回报,并且公司的资本雇用在此期间增长了36%。虽然17%是一个中等ROCE,但能看到一个企业能够以这种良好的回报率持续再投资是好的。在很长一段时间内,这些回报可能并不令人兴奋,但随着一致性,它们可以通过股价回报来得到回报。

In Conclusion...

最后,同等资本下回报率较低的趋势通常不是我们关注创业板股票的最佳信号。由于这些发展进行良好,因此投资者不太可能表现友好。自五年前以来,该股下跌了32%。除非这些指标朝着更积极的轨迹转变,否则我们将继续寻找其他股票。

The main thing to remember is that United Parcel Service has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 57% to shareholders over the last five years. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we still believe the stock deserves further research.

要记住的主要事情是,联合包裹服务已经证明了其以可观的回报率不断再投资的能力。股票也跟随着这一趋势,在过去五年中为股东带来了显著的57%的回报。因此,尽管投资者似乎认识到了这些有前途的趋势,但我们仍然认为该股票值得进一步研究。

One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with United Parcel Service (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.

还有一件事:我们已经确定了联合包裹服务的3个警告信号(最少有1个比较令人关注),了解它们肯定会很有用。

While United Parcel Service may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

虽然联合包裹服务目前可能没有获得最高回报,但我们已经编制了一份当前收益超过25%的公司列表。在这里查看这个免费列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发