Here's Why Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies (SHSE:600498) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Here's Why Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies (SHSE:600498) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600498) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
沃伦·巴菲特曾经著名地说过,“波动性远非风险的代名词”。当我们衡量一家公司的风险时,考虑到债务的影响也非常重要,因为债务通常是企业瓦解时的罪魁祸首。我们注意到,烽火通信股份有限公司(SHSE:600498)的财务状况表上确实记录有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务会带来多少风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当债务和其他负债无法轻易实现自由现金流或者以有吸引力的价格筹资时,它们就会对企业构成风险。在最糟糕的情况下,公司无法偿付债权人而破产。然而,更常见的(但仍然昂贵)情况是,公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东的利益,只为控制债务。然而,在消除稀释的情况下,债务可以成为需要以高回报率投资增长的企业非常好的工具。当我们思考一家公司的债务使用情况时,首先看的是现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies Carry?
烽火通信股份有限公司的负债有多少?
As you can see below, Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies had CN¥7.54b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥7.93b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥3.60b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥3.93b.
如下所示,烽火通信股份有限公司于2024年3月份时的债务总额为754亿元人民币,比一年前的793亿元人民币有所下降。然而,该公司也有360亿元人民币的现金,因此净债务为393亿元人民币。
How Strong Is Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies' Balance Sheet?
烽火通信股份有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies had liabilities of CN¥21.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.30b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.60b in cash and CN¥14.0b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥8.40b.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表看到,烽火通信股份有限公司的到期负债在一年内为217亿元人民币,而到期负债则为43亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,该公司有36亿元人民币的现金和140亿元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款均在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款的总和为84亿元人民币。
Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies has a market capitalization of CN¥18.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
由于烽火通信股份有限公司的市值为189亿元人民币,所以如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金改善其财务状况。但我们肯定要对其债务带来的风险进行警惕。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了衡量公司债务相对于其收益的大小,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)以及其税前收益与利息支出(其利息覆盖率)的比率。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了所支付的利率。
Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies's net debt is 2.8 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 28.8 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. We note that Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
烽火通信股份有限公司的净债务是其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的2.8倍,这是相当大但仍属合理范畴的杠杆率。然而,其28.8倍的利息覆盖倍数非常高,表明债务的利息支出目前相当低。我们注意到,烽火通信股份有限公司去年的EBIt增长了22%,这应该使其未来偿还债务更容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了关于债务的大部分信息。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定烽火通信股份有限公司能否随着时间推移加强其财务状况。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬的现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。因此,合理的步骤是查看由实际自由现金流匹配的EBIt的比例。在过去的三年中,烽火通信股份有限公司总体上看到了大量的负的自由现金流。虽然这可能是为了增长的支出所致,但这将使债务风险更大。
Our View
我们的观点
Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. We think that Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
烽火通信股份有限公司的EBIt转化为自由现金流和净债务与EBITDA确实对它产生了负面影响。但好消息是,其EBIt轻松覆盖了利息支出。我们认为,考虑到上述数据点,烽火通信股份有限公司的债务确实使其有些风险。并不是所有的风险都是坏的,如果能够实现,则可以提高股价回报率。但是这种债务风险值得记在心中。很明显,负债表是在分析债务时需要重点关注的领域。但是最终,每个公司都可能存在超出负债表以外的风险。我们确定了一项警示标志,并了解它们应该是您投资过程中的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。
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