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CRRC (SHSE:601766) Jumps 7.6% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns

CRRC (SHSE:601766) Jumps 7.6% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns

中国中车(SHSE:601766)创业板本周涨7.6%,尽管盈利增长仍落后于三年股东回报。
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 18:23

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, CRRC Corporation Limited (SHSE:601766) shareholders have seen the share price rise 29% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (29%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 19% in the last year, including dividends.

购买指数基金可以近似获得市场平均回报。但如果您选择拥有独特技能的个别股票,则可以获得更高的回报。例如,中国中车股份有限公司(SHSE:601766)的股东们在三年内看到股价上涨了29%,远高于市场下跌(29%,不包括股息)。然而,最近的回报未能像那样令人印象深刻,该股在包括股息在内的最近一年中仅回报19%。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的话说,“船只会在世界各地航行,但是持平地球学会会蓬勃发展。在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差距……”评估公司周围情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During three years of share price growth, CRRC achieved compound earnings per share growth of 1.1% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 9% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

在股价增长的三年中,中国中车的每股收益增长了1.1%/年的复合增长率。这种EPS增长低于股价平均每年增长9%。这表明,随着企业在过去几年中的进展,它赢得了市场参与者的信心,重新估值股票几年后出现在市场上属于正常现象。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601766 Earnings Per Share Growth July 2nd 2024
SHSE:601766每股收益增长2024年7月2日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of CRRC's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们很高兴地报告,CEO的报酬比同等资本化公司的大多数CEO都更为适度。CEO的报酬的观察始终值得注意,但更重要的问题是公司是否会在未来几年中获得盈利增长。通过查看中国中车的收益、营业收入和现金流的交互图表来深入了解收益情况。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for CRRC the TSR over the last 3 years was 42%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报TSR是考虑到现金股息(假设收到的任何股息都是再投资)以及任何已折价的增资和剥离计算值的收益计算。可以说,TSR为股票产生的回报提供了更全面的图像。我们注意到,对于中国中车来说,过去3年的TSR为42%,优于上述股价回报。而且,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's good to see that CRRC has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 19% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 2% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CRRC better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for CRRC that you should be aware of.

很高兴看到中国中车在过去十二个月中以19%的总股东回报奖励了股东们,这已包括股息。由于一年的TSR优于五年的TSR(后者为每年2%),因此似乎股票的表现在最近有所改善。考虑到股价势头仍然强劲,有必要仔细观察股票,以免错过任何机会。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有趣的,但要更好地了解中国中车,我们需要考虑许多其他因素,例如,我们已经确定了1个警告信号,您应该了解。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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