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Even After Rising 4.2% This Past Week, Shandong Iron and Steel (SHSE:600022) Shareholders Are Still Down 23% Over the Past Three Years

Even After Rising 4.2% This Past Week, Shandong Iron and Steel (SHSE:600022) Shareholders Are Still Down 23% Over the Past Three Years

即使在上周上涨了4.2%,山东钢铁(SHSE:600022)的股东在过去三年中仍然下跌了23%。
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 18:27

One of the frustrations of investing is when a stock goes down. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. While the Shandong Iron and Steel Company Ltd. (SHSE:600022) share price is down 27% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -23%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 25%.

投资中最让人沮丧的一点是股票下跌。但在下降的市场中赚钱是很困难的。山东钢铁股份有限公司(SHSE:600022)股价在过去三年中下跌了27%,但股东的总回报(包括分红)却为-23%。这一总回报实际上超过了市场下跌25%的回报。

The recent uptick of 4.2% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近上涨4.2%可能是好事的积极信号,因此让我们来看看历史基本面。

Given that Shandong Iron and Steel didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

考虑到山东钢铁上一年没有盈利,我们将重点关注营业收入增长,以形成其业务发展的快速概览。亏损公司的股东通常希望实现强劲的营收增长。因为如果营收增长微不足道,从不盈利,那么很难相信公司是可持续的。

Over the last three years, Shandong Iron and Steel's revenue dropped 5.2% per year. That is not a good result. The annual decline of 8% per year in that period has clearly disappointed holders. That makes sense given the lack of either profits or revenue growth. However, in this kind of situation you can sometimes find opportunity, where sentiment is negative but the company is actually making good progress.

在过去的三年中,山东钢铁的收入年均下降了5.2%。这是一个不好的结果。那个时期每年8%的年度下降显然让持有人失望。考虑到盈利和营收增长的缺乏,这是有道理的。然而,在这种情况下,有时可以找到机会,情绪是负面的,但实际上公司正在取得良好的进展。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600022 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 2nd 2024
SHSE:600022收益和营收增长2024年7月2日

Take a more thorough look at Shandong Iron and Steel's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份免费报告,更深入地了解山东钢铁的财务状况。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Shandong Iron and Steel's TSR for the last 3 years was -23%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

考虑到现金股利的价值(假设任何收到的股息都被再投资),以及任何折扣的股本增发和剥离的计算价值,必须考虑股东总回报以及股票价格回报,对于任何给定的股票。可以说,TSR提供了股票产生的回报更全面的图片。恰好,山东钢铁过去3年的TSR为-23%,超过了股票价格回报。毫无疑问分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Shandong Iron and Steel shares lost 13% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 16%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Shandong Iron and Steel has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

尽管看到山东钢铁股票在去年下跌了13%确实让人失望,但那并不像市场下跌16%那样糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为这比过去半个十年的年化亏损3%还要糟糕。虽然一些投资者在买入那些正在苦苦挣扎(但仍然被低估)的公司时表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特曾经说过“扭转局势很少会扭转”。我认为长期以来的股票价格作为业绩的一种代理非常有趣。但是要真正获得洞见,我们需要考虑其他信息。例如,承担风险-山东钢铁有2个警告标志(其中1个是重大的),我们认为您应该了解。

We will like Shandong Iron and Steel better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大型内部买入,我们会更喜欢山东钢铁。等待的同时,请查看此具有可观的最近内部购买的免费低估股票(主要是小盘股)列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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