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Is Troy Information Technology (SZSE:300366) A Risky Investment?

Is Troy Information Technology (SZSE:300366) A Risky Investment?

创意信息(SZSE:300366)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 19:35

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300366) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李璐(Charlie Munger支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动性,而是你是否会遭受资本永久损失。” 因此,当你考虑任何股票的风险性时,考虑债务就显得很明显,因为太多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。 我们可以看到,创意信息科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300366)在业务中使用债务。 但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务在企业遇到资金短缺,无法用新资本或自由现金流支付时,对企业的帮助是必要的。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是“创造性破坏”过程,其中倒闭的企业会被银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以低廉的股价来稀释股东,以控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,没有任何负面影响。考虑企业的债务水平的第一步是将现金和债务合并考虑。

What Is Troy Information Technology's Net Debt?

创意信息科技的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Troy Information Technology had debt of CN¥728.4m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥871.4m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥237.2m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥491.2m.

下面的图像显示,截至2024年3月底,创意信息科技的债务为CN¥72840万,较去年减少CN¥87140万。然而,由于其现金储备为CN¥23720万,因此其净债务较少,约为CN¥49120万。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300366 Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2024
SZSE:300366负债股权历史记录2024年7月2日

A Look At Troy Information Technology's Liabilities

深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到创意信息科技有CN¥16.7亿的负债在12个月内到期,CN¥1980万的负债超过了预期。另一方面,它拥有CN¥23720万的现金和CN¥10.9亿元的应收款项在一年内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收款项的总和约为CN¥36490万。

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Troy Information Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.67b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥19.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥237.2m and CN¥1.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥364.9m.

当然,创意信息科技的市值为CN¥44.6亿,因此这些负债可能是可以承受的。尽管如此,很明显我们应该继续监视其资产负债表,以防情况恶化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务情况最多。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定创意信息科技如何随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,你可以查看这份自由现金流的课堂,显示分析师的利润预测。

Of course, Troy Information Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.46b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Troy Information Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

在过去的12个月里,创意信息科技在EBIt水平上亏损,并且其营业收入下降到CN¥14亿,下降了29%。坦率地说,这并不好。

Over 12 months, Troy Information Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.4b, which is a fall of 29%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去的十二个月中,创意信息技术的营业收入不仅下滑,而且EBIT也出现了负面收益。实际上,它在EBIt水平上亏损了CN¥39600万。当我们考虑到其资产负债表上的负债相对于现金时,这显得很不明智,并且认为该公司有任何债务。因此,我们认为它的资产负债表有点紧张,尽管不是无法修复。然而,它在过去一年中烧掉了CN¥3200万现金,这并不利于它。坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点。但并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,从中可以看出这些风险很难披露。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一条创意信息科技的警告信号,你应该知道。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Not only did Troy Information Technology's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥396m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥32m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Troy Information Technology you should know about.

在过去的12个月里,创意信息技术不仅营业收入下滑,而且EBIT也出现了负面收益。实际上,它在EBIt水平上亏损了CN¥39600万。在我们看到这一点并回忆起其资产负债表上的负债相对于现金时,我们认为该公司有任何债务都是不明智的。因此,我们认为它的资产负债表有点紧张,尽管不是无法修复。然而,它在过去一年中烧掉了CN¥3200万现金,这并不利于它。坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点。但并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。这些风险很难披露。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一条创意信息科技的警告信号,你应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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