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Eurozone Inflation Eases But ECB Likely To Keep Interest Rates On Hold: MIDF Research Finds

Eurozone Inflation Eases But ECB Likely To Keep Interest Rates On Hold: MIDF Research Finds

欧元区通胀率放缓,但欧洲央行可能保持利率期货:MIDF研究发现
Business Today ·  07/02 21:54

Consumer prices slip to 2.5% but core rate stays high, prompting little belief in further cuts in borrowing costs, news reports cited recently MIDF Research said the ECB will keep its interest rate status quo for Jul-24 policy rate.    

消费价格下降到2.5%,但核心利率仍然高企,新闻报道引用最近 MIDF 研究称,欧洲央行将在 7 月 24 日的政策利率上保持其利率状态不变。

However, the central bank may consider another cut in contingent upon core inflation rate registering lower than ECB expected in 2HCY24.

然而,如果核心通胀率在 2024 年下半年低于欧洲央行预期,则央行可能会考虑再次削减。

Euro area's consumer inflation rate moderated to +2.5%yoy in Jun-24 (May-24: +2.6%yoy), conforming to market expectations.    

欧元区消费者通胀率在 2024 年 6 月份降至 +2.5%,符合市场预期。

Food inflation rate eased to +2.5%yoy, the lowest since Sep-21.    

食品通胀率放缓至 +2.5%,为 2021 年 9 月以来最低。

Energy price inched up by +0.2%yoy (May-24: +0.3%yoy).    

能源价格略微上涨 +0.2%,较 5 月份的 +0.3%略微提高。

Excluding volatile price items, core inflation rate was unchanged at +2.9%yoy, missed market projection of +2.8%yoy.    

除价格波动项目外,核心通胀率持平于 +2.9%,未达到市场预期的 +2.8%。

On a month-on-month basis, overall price growth steadied at +0.2%mom while core inflation rose by +0.3%mom.    

按月计算,总体价格增长保持在 +0.2%/月,而核心通胀率则上升 +0.3%/月。

As of 1HCY24, average headline inflation rate and core inflation rate are +2.6% and +3.0% respectively.    

截至 2024 年上半年,平均头条通胀率和核心通胀率分别为 +2.6% 和 +3.0%。

These figures are slightly lower but in tandem with ECB's forecast trajectory, +2.5% for headline and +2.8% for core in 2024, MIDF cited in a note today (July 3).

这些数字略低,但与欧洲央行的预测轨迹一致,头条通胀率为 +2.5%,核心通胀率为 +2.8%。MIDF 今天在一份报告中引用。

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