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US Services Sector Activity Experiences Largest Contraction In Over 4 Years: Gold Rallies, Dollar Tumbles As Traders Raise Rate Cut Bets

US Services Sector Activity Experiences Largest Contraction In Over 4 Years: Gold Rallies, Dollar Tumbles As Traders Raise Rate Cut Bets

美国服务业活动经历4年来最大萎缩:黄金上涨,美元下跌,交易员加大了降息赌注。
Benzinga ·  07/03 10:35

Business sentiment in the U.S. services sector plummeted in June, missing economic estimates by a wide margin and indicating that the pace of economic growth slowed down markedly at the end of last quarter.

美国服务业商业信心在6月份急剧下滑,大幅低于经济预期,表明上个季度末经济增长的速度显著放缓。

The Purchasing Managers' Index for the services sector, as measured by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), marked the worst contraction since May 2020.

由物流管理协会(ISM)测量的服务业采购经理人指数是自2020年5月以来最糟糕的收缩情况。

June ISM Services PMI Report: Key Highlights

6月ISM服务业PMI报告:重点亮点

  • The ISM Services PMI fell from 53.8% to 48.8% in June, sharply below market expectations of 52.5% as monitored by Econoday.
  • The subindex for Business Activity fell from 61.2% to 49.6% in June.
  • The subindex for New Orders entered contraction after 17 straight months of expansion, falling from 54.1% in May to 47.3% in June. The outcome fell short of the 53.6% expected.
  • The subindex for Prices Paid eased from 58.1% to 56.3%, slightly below the predicted 56.7%, indicating a marginal improvement in price inputs paid by services providers.
  • The subindex for Employment contracted at a faster pace compared to May, falling from 47.1% to 46.1%, missing the expected 49%.
  • 6月份ISM服务业PMI从53.8%降至48.8%,远低于经济预期的52.5%,该预期由Econoday监测。
  • 商业活动的子指数从61.2%下降至49.6%。
  • 新订单子指数经历了连续17个月的扩张后进入了收缩阶段,从5月的54.1%下降至6月的47.3%。这一结果低于预期的53.6%。
  • 价格支出子指数从58.1%降至56.3%,略低于预期的56.7%,表明服务提供商支付的价格成本略微有所改善。
  • 就业子指数的收缩速度相比5月份加快,从47.1%下降至46.1%,低于预期的49%。

Chart: Services Sector Activity Tumbles The Most Since May 2020

图表:服务业活动自2020年5月以来最大跌幅

"The decrease in the composite index in June is a result of notably lower business activity, a contraction in new orders for the second time since May 2020 and continued contraction in employment." Steve Miller, chair of the ISM Services Business Survey Committee, said.

ISM服务业商业调查委员会主席史蒂夫·米勒(Steve Miller)表示:“6月份综合指数的下降是商业活动明显变差,自2020年5月以来新订单第二次收缩,就业持续收缩的结果。”

Miller highlighted that survey respondents report flat or lower business conditions, and while price pressures are fading, "some commodities have significantly higher costs."

米勒指出,调查对象报告的是稳定或更低的商业状况,尽管价格压力正在消退,但是“一些商品的成本显着增加”。

Respondents also indicated that the weaker supplier delivery performance is attribute to transportation challenges, and not to demand gains.

调查对象还指出,供应商交货表现较弱是由于运输方面的挑战,而非需求增长所致。

Also read: Private Employers Add 150,000 Jobs In June, Less Than Expected: Job Growth 'Solid, But Not Broad-Based'

还阅读:私营企业在6月份增加了15万个工作岗位,低于预期:就业增长“坚实但不普遍”

Market Reactions: Stocks Hold Gains, Bond Yields Rise Again

市场反应:股票保持上涨,债券收益率再次上升

U.S. stocks inched higher in reaction to the bleak ISM Services PMI report, bond yields fell markedly, and the dollar weakened as traders raised their wagers on upcoming Fed interest rate cuts.

受到灰暗的ISM服务业PMI报告的影响,美国股市微涨,债券收益率显著下降,美元走弱,交易员加大对即将到来的美联储降息的赌注。

  • The S&P 500 Index, as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), was 0.2% higher at 10:15 a.m. in New York.
  • The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) rose by 0.2%.
  • The blue-chip SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA) was flat.
  • Long-dated Treasury yields saw sharp declines, with the 30-year yield down by 9 basis points to 4.52%, pushing the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) up by 1.4%.
  • The U.S. dollar tumbled, with the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund (NYSE:UUP), down 0.5%.
  • Gold, as tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD), rallied 1.5%.
  • 标普500指数,由SPDR标普500 ETF信任(NYSE:SPY)跟踪,纽约时间上午10:15上涨0.2%。
  • 科技股较重的纳指100ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust(NASDAQ:QQQ)上涨了0.2%。
  • 以蓝筹股为主的道琼斯工业平均ETF(NYSE:DIA)基本持平。
  • 长期国债收益率急剧下降,30年期债券收益率下降9个基点至4.52%,推动iShares 20+年期国库债券ETF(NASDAQ:TLT)上涨1.4%。
  • 美元指数看涨基金(NYSE:UUP)下跌了0.5%。
  • SPDR Gold Trust(NYSE:GLD)跟踪的黄金上涨了1.5%。
  • Goldman Sachs: 10 Reasons Why Stock Risks Rise In The Second Half Of 2024
  • 高盛:股票风险上升的10个原因(2024年下半年)

Photo: Shutterstock

Photo: shutterstock

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