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Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (SZSE:300442) A Risky Investment?

Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (SZSE:300442) A Risky Investment?

润泽科技(SZSE:300442)是一个有风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/03 20:59

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited (SZSE:300442) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯曾经很好地说过,与其担心股价波动,‘我所担心的风险是永久损失的可能性……我知道的每个实践投资者都担心这个问题。’当你考虑一个公司的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭往往涉及负债。但关键问题是,这些负债是否会让公司变得有风险。而深圳市润泽科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300442)确实带有负债。但是真正的问题是,这些负债是否会让公司变得有风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还债权人,那么它就处于他们的紧缺之中。在资本主义的本质中,存在着「创造性破坏」的过程,失败的企业会被银行家所无情清算。这不太常见,但因贷款人强制使它们以低于市场价格的价格募集资本,我们经常看到负债企业永久稀释股东。当然,有很多公司使用债务进行增长,没有出现任何负面后果。当我们考虑一个公司对债务的使用时,我们首先会看现金和债务总额。

What Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's Debt?

深圳市润泽科技股份有限公司的负债情况如何?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group had debt of CN¥11.0b, up from CN¥9.77b in one year. However, it does have CN¥2.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥8.58b.

下面的图片,您可以单击以获得更详细的信息,显示2024年3月润泽科技公司的债务为110亿人民币,较去年的97.7亿人民币有所增加。但是,它确实有24.2亿人民币的现金抵消,从而导致净债务约为85.8亿人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300442 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2024
SZSE:300442负债权益历史记录2024年7月4日

How Strong Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

润泽科技公司的资产负债表有多强大?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥4.26b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥13.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.42b in cash and CN¥1.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥13.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,润泽科技公司的负债总额为42.6亿元人民币,到期不超过一年,负债总额为130亿元人民币。它有24.2亿元人民币的现金和13.9亿元人民币的应收账款,这些应付账款在12个月内到期。所以,它有总计134亿元人民币的负债,比其现金和短期应收账款相加还多。

This deficit isn't so bad because Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group is worth CN¥40.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这个缺口不算太糟糕,因为润泽科技公司价值400亿元人民币,因此如果需要,应该可以筹集足够的资本来支持其资产负债表。但是,很明显我们应该仔细研究它是否可以在不稀释的情况下管理其债务。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来分析债务与收益之间的关系。第一个比率是净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,第二个比率是其利润前利润和税(EBIT)覆盖利息支出的次数(或其利息覆盖比率)。这种方法的优点在于我们考虑到了债务的绝对数量(通过净债务与EBITDA的比率),以及与这些债务相关的实际利息支出(通过其利息覆盖比率)。

Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's net debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 21.0 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. It is well worth noting that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 51% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

润泽科技公司的净债务为其EBITDA的3.6倍,这是一个相当大但仍然合理的杠杆水平。然而,其21.0的利息覆盖率非常高,表明目前债务利息相当低。值得注意的是,润泽科技公司的EBIt在最近12个月中飙升了51%。这将使其更容易管理其债务。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但是,最终,决定润泽科技公司是否能够保持健康的资产负债表的将是未来的收益,而不是任何其他因素。所以,如果您想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会觉得有用的。可以看看这个自由报告,其中分析了分析师的利润预测。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用虚构的利润支付债务;它需要真金白银。所以,值得检查这些EBIt后面支持的自由现金流的数量。在过去的三年中,润泽科技公司总共看到了大量负面的自由现金流。尽管投资者无疑希望在适当的时候逆转这种情况,但它确实意味着它的债务使用更加冒险。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .

根据我们所看到的,润泽科技公司不容易将其EBIt转化为自由现金流,但我们考虑的其他因素给我们带来了乐观的原因。毫无疑问,它用其EBIt覆盖其利息费用的能力相当卓越。当我们考虑上述所有因素时,我们确实对润泽科技公司使用债务的做法有些谨慎。尽管债务在提高潜在回报方面具有优势,但我们认为,股东应该确实考虑债务水平可能使股票更加有风险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要重点关注的领域。然而,总的来说,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表以外的风险。因此,您应该了解我们发现的3个警告标志(其中2个并不符合我们的口味)润泽科技公司。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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