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Is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor (SHSE:688439) A Risky Investment?

Is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor (SHSE:688439) A Risky Investment?

贵州正华凤光半导体(SHSE:688439)是一个高风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/03 21:24

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688439) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人认为,作为投资者,波动性而非债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特著名地说过“波动性远非风险的同义词。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢看一下它的债务使用情况,因为债务负担过重会导致灭顶之灾。 我们可以看到,贵州振华风光半导体股份有限公司(SHSE:688439)确实在业务中使用了债务。 但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多少风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务在企业出现支付困难时,借新资本或自由现金流偿还债务时,有助于企业的业务。 资本的一部分是资本主义的过程,即银行家毫不留情地清算失败的企业。 然而,更频繁但仍然代价高昂的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久地稀释股东的持股,以铺平其资产负债表。 话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务--并从中受益。 考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看看现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor Carry?

贵州振华风光半导体负债多少?

As you can see below, Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor had CN¥84.8m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥105.2m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥2.38b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.30b.

正如您下面所看到的,2024年3月,贵州振华风光半导体负债8480万元,低于前一年的10520万元。 但是,它确实有23.8亿元的现金抵消这一风险,从而导致其净现金达到23亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688439 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2024
SHSE:688439股债比历史数据 2024年7月4日

How Healthy Is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor's Balance Sheet?

贵州振华风光半导体资产负载情况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor had liabilities of CN¥542.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥115.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.38b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.74b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.46b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

从最新的资产负债表分析数据,我们可以看到,贵州振华风光半导体有54,250万元的到期债务,在12个月内到期,而11570万元的债务则超过了12个月。 抵消这些义务,它有23.8亿元的现金以及在12个月内到期的应收账款价值17.4亿元。 因此,它可以声称比 负债。

It's good to see that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

可以看到,贵州振华风光半导体的资产负债表上有足够的流动性,表明负债管理非常保守。 由于有充足的短期流动性,我们认为公司不会遇到任何与贷款人方面的问题。 简而言之,贵州振华风光半导体拥有的现金比债务多堪称其可以安全地管理其债务的良好迹象。 除此之外,我们很高兴地报道贵州振华风光半导体将其利润之前的利润增长了54%,从而减少了未来债务偿还的威胁。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has boosted its EBIT by 54%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,我们很高兴地报道贵州振华风光半导体将其EBIt提高了54%,从而减少了未来债务偿还的威胁。 显然,资产负债表是分析债务的关键领域。 但是,最终企业的未来盈利能力将决定贵州振华风光半导体能否逐渐增强其资产负债表。 因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。 虽然贵州振华风光半导体的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注其将利润之前的利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蚀)现金储备。 在过去的三年中,贵州振华风光半导体负自由现金流的风险已大幅下降。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has net cash of CN¥2.30b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 54% over the last year. So is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

虽然我们理解投资者所关注的债务问题,但您应该知道,贵州振华风光半导体有23亿元的净现金,而其流动资产远远超过流动负债。 同时,贵州振华风光半导体去年的EBIt增长达54%,给我们留下了深刻印象。 因此,贵州振华风光半导体的债务是否存在风险? 我们认为不存在。 从资产负债表上可以了解债务信息,但并不是所有的投资风险都来自资产负债表。 为此,您应该了解我们在贵州振华风光半导体中发现的2个警告信号(包括1个不可忽视的警告信号)。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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