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Is Singapore Telecommunications (SGX:Z74) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Singapore Telecommunications (SGX:Z74) Using Too Much Debt?

新加坡电信(SGX:Z74)是否使用过多债务?
Simply Wall St ·  07/04 18:25

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Singapore Telecommunications Limited (SGX:Z74) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯很漂亮地表达了这一点,他说,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的风险是永久损失...所有实际的投资者我认识的人都感到担忧。因此在考虑股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,新加坡电信有限公司(SGX:Z74)确实有债务。但这个债务会让股东们担忧吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务可以协助业务,直到业务遇到无法用新资本或自由现金流偿还债务的困境为止。如果情况变得非常糟糕,放贷者可以接手业务。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低于市场价格出售股票,永久性地稀释股东,以加强其资产负债表。但是,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一种极好的工具。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Singapore Telecommunications Carry?

新加坡电信承担了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Singapore Telecommunications had S$8.75b of debt, an increase on S$7.61b, over one year. However, it does have S$4.63b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$4.12b.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但是截至2024年3月,新加坡电信负有875亿新加坡元的债务,一年内增加了761亿新加坡元。但它确实有463亿新加坡元的现金抵消,导致净债务约为412亿新加坡元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:Z74 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2024
SGX:Z74资产负债历史数据2024年7月4日

A Look At Singapore Telecommunications' Liabilities

看看新加坡电信的负载吧。

According to the last reported balance sheet, Singapore Telecommunications had liabilities of S$7.65b due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$13.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had S$4.63b in cash and S$4.42b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$12.2b.

根据最近一份财务报表,新加坡电信的负债总额为765亿新加坡元,到期在12个月内,负债总额为1,360亿新加坡元,超过了现金和(短期)应收款总额的122亿新加坡元。而其现金和在12个月内到期的应收账款分别为463亿和442亿新加坡元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Singapore Telecommunications is worth a massive S$47.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这种逆差并不算太严重,因为新加坡电信的价值高达477亿新加坡元,因此如果需要的话,它可能筹集足够的资本来巩固其资产负债表。但显然,我们肯定应仔细考虑它是否可以在不稀释权益的情况下管理其债务。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.3 and interest cover of 4.3 times, it seems to us that Singapore Telecommunications is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Singapore Telecommunications grew its EBIT by 3.5% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Singapore Telecommunications can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

从其净债务对息税前盈利的比率为1.3和利息覆盖率为4.3倍来看,新加坡电信似乎是以相当合理的方式利用债务。因此,我们建议密切关注融资成本对业务的影响。新加坡电信的EBIt在过去一年中增长了3.5%。虽然这对于债务来说几乎没有什么影响,但也是积极的。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定新加坡电信是否能够逐步加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的意见,您可能会发现这篇有分析预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Singapore Telecommunications actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但是我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸质利润来还债;它需要冷硬的现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIt转化为自由现金流的数量有多少。在过去的三年中,新加坡电信实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIt还要多。当谈到维持借款人的良好信誉时,没有什么比入账现金更好的了。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Singapore Telecommunications's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. All these things considered, it appears that Singapore Telecommunications can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Singapore Telecommunications (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

令人高兴的是,新加坡电信将EBIt转换为自由现金流的卓越能力表明它掌握了债务的主动权。但是,更为严峻的是,我们对它的利息覆盖率有些担忧。在综合考虑所有这些因素后,新加坡电信似乎可以轻松管理其当前的债务水平。当然,虽然这种杠杆能够增强权益回报,但它也带来更多的风险,因此值得密切关注。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中。例如,我们已经发现了3个有关新加坡电信的警示信号(1个有点令人不快!)您在投资这里之前应该注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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