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Is Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) A Risky Investment?

Is Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) A Risky Investment?

frontdoor(纳斯达克:FTDR)是否是有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 07:55

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,Frontdoor, Inc.(纳斯达克股票代码:FTDR)也使用债务。但更重要的问题是:债务创造了多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任由他们摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,这也是为了自己的利益。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先将现金和债务水平放在一起考虑。

What Is Frontdoor's Debt?

什么是前门债务?

As you can see below, Frontdoor had US$590.0m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$384.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$206.0m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,Frontdoor的债务为5.90亿美元,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,它确实有3.84亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为2.06亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:FTDR Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024
NASDAQGS: FTDR 债务与股本的比率历史记录 2024 年 7 月 5 日

How Healthy Is Frontdoor's Balance Sheet?

Frontdoor的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Frontdoor had liabilities of US$360.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$624.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$384.0m in cash and US$4.00m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$596.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Frontdoor的负债为3.60亿美元,一年后到期的负债为6.24亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有3.84亿美元的现金和400万美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出5.96亿美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Frontdoor is worth US$2.69b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

这种赤字还不错,因为Frontdoor的价值为26.9亿美元,因此,如果需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Frontdoor has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.65. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Frontdoor has boosted its EBIT by 56%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Frontdoor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Frontdoor的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率很低,仅为0.65。而且其息税前利润很容易弥补其利息支出,是其规模的12.8倍。因此,你可以争辩说,它受到债务的威胁并不比大象受到老鼠的威胁更大。除此之外,我们很高兴地向大家报告,Frontdoor已将其息税前利润提高了56%,从而减少了对未来偿还债务的担忧。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定Frontdoor未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Frontdoor produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们总是检查该息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,Frontdoor产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的66%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Frontdoor's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Frontdoor's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Frontdoor , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

令人高兴的是,Frontdoor令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着它在债务上占了上风。好消息不止于此,因为其息税前利润增长率也支持这种印象!从大局来看,我们认为Frontdoor使用债务似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担心。虽然债务确实会带来风险,但如果明智地使用,它也可以带来更高的股本回报率。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向Frontdoor确定了1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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