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U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 18% If They Invested Three Years Ago

U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 18% If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投资,美国合众银行(纽交所:USB)的投资者现在面临着18%的损失。
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 11:37

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) shareholders, since the share price is down 28% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 21%.

对于许多投资者来说,股票选取的主要目的是创造高于整体市场的回报。但在任何投资组合中,可能存在一些无法达到基准的股票。不幸的是,这对于长期持有美国合众银行(NYSE:USB)股票的股东来说是事实,因为在过去三年中,股价下跌了28%,远低于市场回报约21%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

那么我们来看看这家公司的长期表现是否符合其业务进展情况。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是反映公司价值的合理方式。考虑市场对公司的看法如何发生变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价的变动进行比较。股票价格并不总是反映公司价值的合理方式沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是理性反映企业价值的情况。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间而变化。

U.S. Bancorp saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 7.6% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 10% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

美国合众银行在过去三年中的每股收益复合年增长率下降了7.6%。10%的股价下跌实际上比每股收益下降更加严重。因此,看起来市场过去过于自信了业务的发展。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:USB Earnings Per Share Growth July 5th 2024
纽交所:USb每股收益增长2024年7月5日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on U.S. Bancorp's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看我们关于美国合众银行收益、营业收入和现金流的免费报告可能非常值得。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for U.S. Bancorp the TSR over the last 3 years was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报TSR包括任何分拆或折价融资的价值以及任何分红,假设分红被再投资。可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。我们注意到,对于美国合众银行,过去3年的TSR为-18%,比上面提到的股价回报要好。毫无疑问,股息支付很大程度上解释了这种分化!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

U.S. Bancorp shareholders have received returns of 26% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. To take a positive view, the gain is pleasing, and it sure beats annualized TSR loss of 1.7%, which was endured over half a decade. While 'turnarounds seldom turn' there are green shoots for U.S. Bancorp. If you would like to research U.S. Bancorp in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

美国合众银行股东在12个月内获得了26%的回报(包括股息),与一般市场回报相差不远。从积极的角度来看,收益是令人满意的,肯定比持续半个世纪的年化TSR亏损1.7%要好。尽管“转机很少能够实现”,但美国合众银行已经开始发芽了。如果您想更详细地研究美国合众银行,那么您可能希望查看内部人员是否一直在买卖该公司的股票。

Of course U.S. Bancorp may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,美国合众银行可能不是最好的股票购买选择。因此,您可能希望查看这些增长股的免费收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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