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We Think Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为江苏通力日盛机械(SHSE:605286)可以保持其债务的优势。
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 18:08

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605286) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

当我们考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的负债使用情况,因为负债过多可能会导致毁灭。我们注意到江苏同力日盛机械股份有限公司(SHSE:605286)在其资产负债表上确实有负债。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否会使公司变得有风险。 Howard Marks很好地表达了这一点,他说,与其担心股价波动,‘我担心的是永久性损失的可能性……而我认识的每一位实际投资者都会担心。'

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻松通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来履行欠债时,债务和其他负债对企业会产生风险。如果事情变得非常糟糕,放贷人可以控制企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须在低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,对于企业而言,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型的企业。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先考虑现金和债务总额。

What Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's Net Debt?

江苏同力日盛机械的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had debt of CN¥171.8m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥240.0m over a year. However, it does have CN¥658.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥487.1m.

下面的图像(单击可放大)显示江苏同力日盛机械于2024年3月底负债为1.718亿元人民币,较去年降低了2400万元人民币。然而,它确实有6589万元人民币的现金抵消这一点,从而产生净现金为4.871亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:605286 Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024
SHSE:605286股权负债比历史数据2024年7月5日

How Strong Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's Balance Sheet?

江苏同力日盛机械的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had liabilities of CN¥1.57b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥74.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥658.9m in cash and CN¥1.18b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥196.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到江苏同力日盛机械有157亿元人民币的负债在12个月内到期,7490万元人民币的负债超过12个月到期。与此相抵销的是,它有6,589万元人民币的现金和11.8亿元人民币的应收账款,在12个月内到期。因此,它实际上有1960万元人民币净现金。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This surplus suggests that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这一盈余表明江苏同力日盛机械有稳健的资产负债表,可能很容易消除其债务。简而言之,江苏同力日盛机械拥有的现金多于债务的事实,可以认为是它能够安全管理债务的良好迹象。

Even more impressive was the fact that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery grew its EBIT by 113% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

更令人印象深刻的是,江苏同力日盛机械在12个月内将其EBIt提高了113%。这一增长将使它更容易偿还未来的债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解到了关于债务的大部分信息。但江苏同力日盛机械的收益将影响资产负债表在未来的情况。因此,如果您想更多地了解其收益情况,不妨查看其长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最后,公司只能用现金来偿还债务,而非会计利润。江苏同力日盛机械可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但看看公司将其利润(利息和税前利润)转换为自由现金流的能力是很有趣的,因为这会影响到公司的债务管理需求和能力。在过去的三年中,江苏同力日盛机械创造了相当于其EBIt的11%的自由现金流,这是一个令人失望的表现。对我们而言,低现金转换率会让人对其偿还债务的能力产生一些担忧。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has net cash of CN¥487.1m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 113% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

虽然我们对担心债务的投资者表示同情,但您应该记住,江苏同力日盛机械有着4.871亿元人民币的净现金,以及资产比负债更流动。而且我们也看好去年113%的同比EBIt增长。因此,我们认为江苏同力日盛机械的债务使用并不冒险。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表上——而且距离很远。例如,江苏同力日盛机械有1个警告标志,我们认为你应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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