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American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.'s (NYSE:AEO) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.'s (NYSE:AEO) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

美国鹰派服装公司(纽交所:AEO)的股票最近表现疲软,但财务前景看起来还不错:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/06 09:39

American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) has had a rough three months with its share price down 22%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to American Eagle Outfitters' ROE today.

美国鹰(NYSE:AEO)经历了三个月的艰难时期,股价下跌了22%。然而,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来市场价格走势相吻合。今天我们将特别关注美国鹰的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东应考虑的重要因素是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们投资的资本如何被有效地再投资。简单来说,它用于评估公司与其股权资本相关的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for American Eagle Outfitters is:

因此,基于以上公式,美国鹰的roe为:

13% = US$219m ÷ US$1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to May 2024).

13%= US$21900万 ÷ US$18亿(截至2024年5月底的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.13 in profit.

‘回报’是指公司在过去一年内的收益。这意味着对于每1美元的股东权益,公司可以获得0.13美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一种指标。根据公司选择重新投资或“保留”的利润数量,我们能够评估公司未来产生利润的能力。一般而言,其他条件相等的情况下,具有高股东回报率和利润保留能力的公司比不具备这些属性的公司具有更高的增长率。

American Eagle Outfitters' Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

美国鹰的盈利增长和13%的roe

To start with, American Eagle Outfitters' ROE looks acceptable. Even so, when compared with the average industry ROE of 19%, we aren't very excited. Although, we can see that American Eagle Outfitters saw a modest net income growth of 10% over the past five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently. However, not to forget, the company does have a decent ROE to begin with, just that it is lower than the industry average. So this also does lend some color to the fairly high earnings growth seen by the company.

首先,美国鹰的ROE看起来是可以接受的。尽管如此,在与19%的行业平均roe相比较时,让我们并不是特别兴奋。尽管如此,我们可以看到美国鹰过去五年的净利润增长率只增长了10%。因此,可能还有其他方面对盈利增长产生了积极影响。例如,公司具有较低的赔付比率或正在被有效管理。然而,不要忘记,该公司确实有一个不错的roe,只是低于行业平均水平。因此,这也为公司看到的相当高的盈利增长提供了一些信息。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that American Eagle Outfitters' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 23% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

其次,与行业净利润增长相比,我们发现美国鹰的公布增长低于过去几年行业增长的23%,这不是我们喜欢看到的结果。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:AEO Past Earnings Growth July 6th 2024
NYSE:AEO过去的盈利增长2024年7月6日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is AEO fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。投资者应该尝试确认预期的盈利增加或减少(无论哪种情况),并确定股票是处于光明还是黯淡的未来。AEO是否公允地价值?这家公司的内在价值信息图表中有您需要了解的一切内容。

Is American Eagle Outfitters Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

美国鹰有效地再投资其利润吗?

American Eagle Outfitters has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 37% (or a retention ratio of 63%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

美国鹰具有适度的三年中位数支付比率为37%(或保留比率为63%)和适度的盈利增长量的健康组合,这意味着该公司一直在高效地利用其利润。

Moreover, American Eagle Outfitters is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 26% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in American Eagle Outfitters' payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 18%, over the same period.

此外,美国鹰决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们根据其至少十年支付股息的历史推断出来的。现有的分析师预测表明,未来三年该公司的预期赔付比率预计将下降至26%。因此,美国鹰预期的赔付比率下降解释了同期公司未来roe的预期上升至18%。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

On the whole, we do feel that American Eagle Outfitters has some positive attributes. Particularly, its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely achieved due to the company reinvesting most of its earnings at a decent rate of return, to grow its business. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们确实认为美国鹰具有一些积极的因素。特别是,我们之前看到的其盈利增长表现得相当不错,这很可能是公司以相当不错的回报率将其大部分盈利再投资以增长业务所取得的成果。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,公司的盈利预计将加速增长。若要了解该公司未来盈利增长的更多预测信息,可以查看分析师对该公司的预测免费报告以获取更多信息。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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