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Shareholders in Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (SHSE:600010) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (SHSE:600010) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前购入内蒙古包钢股份(SHSE:600010)的股东们,现在的回报将是负的。
Simply Wall St ·  07/06 20:14

It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But no-one can make money on every call, especially in a declining market. The Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600010) is down 24% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -23% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 27% over the last three years. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 23% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 15% in the last 90 days. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 8.8% in the same timeframe.

当一只股票表现不如预期时,肯定会让人感到沮丧。但在下跌的市场中,没有人能在每次开仓时赚钱。而内蒙古包头钢铁联合有限公司(SHSE:600010)在过去三年中下跌了24%,但如果包括股息在内,股东的总回报率为-23%。这比过去三年下降了27%的市场要好。最近的买家也遇到了麻烦,在过去一年中下跌了23%。股东在最近的一段时间里的运行甚至更加艰难,股价在过去90天内下跌了15%。但是,可以说股价受到了整个市场的影响,因为在同一时间框架内,市场下跌了8.8%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得评估公司的经济状况是否与这些不尽如人意的股东回报同时发展并步调一致,或者两者之间是否存在差异。因此,让我们来看看。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

为了概述本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的话:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但长期来看,它是一台衡重机。思考一家公司的市场感知如何转变的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)变化与股价变动进行比较。

Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

内蒙古包头钢铁联合有限公司在过去五年内变得盈利。我们通常希望看到股价上涨。因此,考虑到股价下跌,值得检查一些其他指标。

Arguably the revenue decline of 3.5% per year has people thinking Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union is shrinking. And that's not surprising, since it seems unlikely that EPS growth can continue for long in the absence of revenue growth.

内蒙古包头钢铁联合有限公司的每年收入下降3.5%,这让人们认为该公司正在缩小规模。这并不奇怪,因为在没有营收增长的情况下,每股收益增长长期持续似乎不太可能。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600010 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 7th 2024
SHSE:600010的盈利和营收增长2014年7月7日。

We know that Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们知道内蒙古包头钢铁联合有限公司的底线近来有所改善,但未来会怎样呢?如果您正在考虑购买或出售内蒙古包头钢铁联合有限公司的股票,您应该查看这份免费的分析师利润预测报告。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union shareholders did even worse, losing 23%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

虽然整个市场在过去12个月中损失了约17%,但内蒙古包头钢铁联合有限公司的股东却损失了23%。话虽如此,不可避免地,在下跌的市场中,有些股票会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本面发展。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为其表现比过去半个世纪的年化损失2%还糟糕。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,在“街头有鲜血时买入”股票,但我们警告投资者,首先要确保他们正在购买高质量的业务。

Of course Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,内蒙古包头钢铁联合有限公司可能不是最好的股票,因此您可能希望查看这些增长型股票的免费收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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