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Is ESCO Technologies (NYSE:ESE) A Risky Investment?

Is ESCO Technologies (NYSE:ESE) A Risky Investment?

esco科技(纽交所:ESE)是否是一项有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/07 10:50

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that ESCO Technologies Inc. (NYSE:ESE) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,ESCO Technologies Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:ESE)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is ESCO Technologies's Net Debt?

ESCO科技公司的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 ESCO Technologies had debt of US$191.0m, up from US$161.0m in one year. However, it also had US$59.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$131.6m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月,ESCO Technologies的债务为1.91亿美元,高于一年的1.61亿美元。但是,它也有5,940万美元的现金,因此其净负债为1.316亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ESE Debt to Equity History July 7th 2024
纽约证券交易所:ESE 债务与股本比率的历史记录 2024 年 7 月 7 日

How Strong Is ESCO Technologies' Balance Sheet?

ESCO Technologies的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ESCO Technologies had liabilities of US$288.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$328.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$59.4m as well as receivables valued at US$326.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$231.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,ESCO Technologies的负债为2.889亿美元,12个月以后到期的负债为3.289亿美元。除这些债务外,它有5,940万美元的现金以及价值3.268亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出2.315亿美元。

Since publicly traded ESCO Technologies shares are worth a total of US$2.65b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由于公开交易的ESCO Technologies股票总价值为26.5亿美元,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

ESCO Technologies's net debt is only 0.69 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that ESCO Technologies grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ESCO Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

ESCO 科技的净负债仅为其息税折旧摊销前利润的0.69倍。而且其息税前利润很容易弥补其利息支出,是其规模的12.9倍。因此,我们对它超保守的债务使用相当放松。我们还热烈地注意到,ESCO Technologies去年的息税前利润增长了15%,使其债务负担更易于处理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定ESCO Technologies能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, ESCO Technologies recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究该息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,ESCO Technologies记录的自由现金流占其息税前利润的52%,这几乎是正常的。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, ESCO Technologies's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like ESCO Technologies is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of ESCO Technologies's earnings per share history for free.

令人高兴的是,ESCO Technologies令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着其债务占了上风。好消息不止于此,因为其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例也支持了这种印象!当我们考虑上述一系列因素时,ESCO Technologies使用债务似乎相当明智。这意味着他们正在承担更多的风险,希望提高股东的回报。除了大多数其他指标外,我们认为追踪每股收益的增长速度非常重要。如果你也意识到了这一点,那你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看这张ESCO Technologies每股收益历史的交互式图表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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