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Red Sea Diversions Strain Singapore's PMI

Red Sea Diversions Strain Singapore's PMI

红海分流对新加坡PMI造成压力
Singapore Business Review ·  07/08 02:08

PMI dipped to 50.4 in June.

6月份PMI指数下降至50.4。

Singapore has felt the burn of Red Sea diversions, with its Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dipping in June. Increased nautical miles and longer sailing times from diversions caused the supplier deliveries subindex to decrease to 50.1 from 50.3.

新加坡受到红海分流的影响,其采购经理人指数(PMI)在6月份下降。由于分流导致航程增加和航行时间延长,供应商交货子指数从50.3下降至50.1。

Declines in supplier deliveries, finished goods, and order backlog subindexes contributed to the slower PMI expansion in June, according to the Singapore Institute of Purchasing and Materials Management (SIPMM).

新加坡采购和物料管理学会(SIPMM)表示,供应商交货、成品和订单积压子指数的下降导致6月份PMI扩张减缓。

In addition to the Red Sea diversion, UOB Associate Economist Jester Koh stated that increased US import tariffs targeting Chinese exports in sectors such as semiconductors, EVs, batteries, and solar cells have further strained Singapore's port congestion, as exporters expedite shipments ahead of the 1 Aug 2024 implementation timeline.

除了红海分流外,大华银行副经济学家Jester Koh表示,美国针对半导体、电动汽车、电池和电池片等出口行业实施的加征关税进一步加剧了新加坡港口的拥挤,由于出口商在2024年8月1日实施计划前加快了运输。

Germany-based Container xChange predicts prolonged port congestion in Singapore.

总部位于德国的Container xChange预测新加坡的港口拥挤问题将持续。

The platform attributed the prolongation to vessel bunching, off-schedule arrivals, and a rise in throughput.

该平台认为这种拥挤问题将由船只拥挤、不按时到港和吞吐量的增加等因素引起。

Despite the likely continuation of port congestion in Singapore, Koh is optimistic about the recovery of the electronics and semiconductor sectors, thanks to supportive base effects in 2Q-3Q24 and strong end-demand fundamentals bolstered by generative AI-related applications, positively affecting the consumer segment.

尽管新加坡的港口拥挤问题可能会继续存在,但由于第二季度至第三季度24年支撑性基数效应和强劲的终端需求基本面,以及人工智能相关应用的生成性积极影响消费者领域,Koh对电子和半导体行业的复苏持乐观态度。

"Furthermore, the anticipated easing of financial conditions as central banks in major advanced economies commence lowering policy rates could provide some tailwinds to global investment and consumption activity towards the latter half of the year," Koh added.

Koh补充道:“此外,随着主要先进经济体央行开始降低政策利率,预计全球投资和消费活动在后半年可能出现一些迎风的情况。”

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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