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Apple's 'Path To $4 Trillion': iPhone 16 AI Supercycle Sparks Analyst Optimism

Apple's 'Path To $4 Trillion': iPhone 16 AI Supercycle Sparks Analyst Optimism

苹果的“4万亿之路”:iPhone 16 人工智能超级周期激发分析师的乐观情绪
Benzinga ·  07/08 11:31

Investors and tech enthusiasts alike are closely watching Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), with the upcoming iPhone 16 and its AI-driven features generating significant buzz.

投资者和科技爱好者都在密切关注苹果公司(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL),即将推出的iPhone 16及其人工智能驱动的功能引起了轰动。

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives sees Apple on the "path to $4 trillion" and recently addressed the catalysts that are driving this growth.

Wedbush分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯认为苹果正走上 “通往4万亿美元的道路”,最近他谈到了推动这种增长的催化剂。

China – 'Linchpin Of Growth' For Apple

中国——苹果的 “增长关键”

Recent supply chain checks in Asia reveal positive signs of iPhone stabilization, a crucial indicator as Apple gears up for the iPhone 16 launch.

最近在亚洲进行的供应链检查显示出iPhone稳定的积极迹象,这是苹果为iPhone 16的发布做准备的关键指标。

Following a better-than-expected March quarter, optimism for iPhone growth is emerging in various markets. Ives predicts that June will mark the last quarter of negative growth for Apple in China, with a turnaround expected in the September quarter.

继3月份季度好于预期之后,各个市场都出现了对iPhone增长的乐观情绪。艾夫斯预测,6月份将标志着苹果在中国的最后一个季度出现负增长,预计9月季度将出现转机。

Ives says "China remains the linchpin of growth for Apple and now this key region is set to see growth once again starting with iPhone 16."

艾夫斯说:“中国仍然是苹果增长的关键,现在这个关键地区将从iPhone 16开始再次实现增长。”

Up Ahead – A Golden AI Upgrade Cycle For Apple

Up Ahead — Apple 的黄金人工智能升级周期

Since the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) in early June, confidence has been growing in the Asian supply chain regarding the iPhone 16's potential.

自6月初的全球开发者大会(WWDC)以来,亚洲供应链对iPhone 16潜力的信心不断增强。

Ives believes this AI-driven upgrade could represent "a golden upgrade cycle for Cupertino looking ahead with pent-up
demand building globally." Cupertino is poised to become "gatekeepers of the consumer AI Revolution," with the integration of Apple Intelligence.

艾夫斯认为,这种由人工智能驱动的升级可能是 “库比蒂诺的黄金升级周期”,展望被压抑的未来
全球需求增长。”随着苹果智能的整合,库比蒂诺有望成为 “消费者人工智能革命的看门人”。

This integration means developers and tech giants like Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) and Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) will likely need to incorporate their AI models into Apple's ecosystem.

这种整合意味着像Meta Platforms Inc(纳斯达克股票代码:META)和Alphabet Inc(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)这样的开发商和科技巨头可能需要将其人工智能模型整合到苹果的生态系统中。

Read Also: Apple's Most-Awaited Siri AI Upgrade Will Not Come Until 2025: Report

另请阅读:报告称,苹果最期待的Siri AI升级要到2025年才能到来

Monetization Opportunities For Apple

苹果的获利机会

Ives also noted that the partnership with OpenAI is creating a global highway for developers to focus on iOS 18, paving the way for monetization opportunities for Apple.

艾夫斯还指出,与OpenAI的合作为开发人员开辟了一条专注于iOS 18的全球高速公路,为苹果的盈利机会铺平了道路。

He estimates that this could lead to an annual incremental growth of $10 billion in high-margin services for Apple. This AI wave is expected to generate a new, multi-pronged revenue stream driven by both hardware and software, potentially adding $30 to $40 per share.

他估计,这可能导致苹果高利润服务每年增量增长100亿美元。预计这股人工智能浪潮将在硬件和软件的推动下产生新的多管齐下的收入来源,每股可能增加30至40美元。

Why Wedbush Is Bullish On Apple

为什么 Wedbush 看好苹果

Ives maintains an Outperform rating and a $275 price target for Apple, underpinned by several key factors:

艾夫斯维持苹果跑赢大盘的评级和275美元的目标股价,这得益于几个关键因素:

  • Achievable iPhone Estimates: Current iPhone estimates for 2024 are within reach, with 2025 estimates seen as conservative.
  • Pent-Up Demand: The AI-driven supercycle is poised to unleash significant demand, with an estimated 270 million iPhones not upgraded in over four years. This is to begin with iPhone 16, this fall.
  • Solid Services Growth: Apple's services sector remains robust, with double-digit growth providing critical valuation support.
  • AI Integration: Ives sees monetization opportunities across both services and hardware opening up with AI integration into Apple's ecosystem.
  • Unmatched Installed Base: Apple boasts the strongest installed base globally, with 2.2 billion iOS devices.
  • iPhone可实现的估计:目前对2024年的iPhone估计触手可及,而2025年的估计值被认为是保守的。
  • 被压抑的需求:人工智能驱动的超级周期有望释放巨大的需求,估计有27000万部iPhone在四年多内没有升级。这将从今年秋天的iPhone 16开始。
  • 稳健的服务业增长:苹果的服务业仍然强劲,两位数的增长提供了重要的估值支持。
  • 人工智能集成:艾夫斯认为,随着人工智能集成到苹果生态系统,服务和硬件的盈利机会都将随之开启。
  • 无与伦比的安装量:Apple 拥有全球最强的安装量,拥有 22 台 iOS 设备。

As the market begins to recognize the transformative potential of Apple Intelligence and the upcoming iPhone 16, Ives' bullish stance suggests that Apple's journey towards a $4 trillion valuation is just beginning.

随着市场开始认识到苹果情报和即将推出的iPhone 16的变革潜力,艾夫斯的看涨立场表明,苹果迈向4万亿美元估值的旅程才刚刚开始。

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