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Tesla Bear Shrugs Off 40% Run-up As 'Meme-Like' Rally: 'Valuation Is Disconnected From The Fundamentals'

Tesla Bear Shrugs Off 40% Run-up As 'Meme-Like' Rally: 'Valuation Is Disconnected From The Fundamentals'

特斯拉熊市在40%的涨幅中袖手旁观,认为这是'模因式'行情:'估值脱离基本面'。
Benzinga ·  02:26

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) continued to push higher and completed a nine-session run on Monday and the strong gains have left bearish analysts even more uncomfortable with the company's rising valuation.

特斯拉股票(NASDAQ:TSLA)周一继续上涨,并完成了连续9个交易日的上涨,强劲的涨势让看淡的分析师对公司不断上涨的市值感到更加不适。

What Happened: Tesla is clearly riding the momentum of better-than-feared second-quarter deliveries number but it should be noted that sales were down 5% year-over-year in the June quarter on top of the 9% drop in the previous, said Bernstein analyst Tony Sacconaghi in an interview with CNBC.

发生了什么:特斯拉显然正乘着令人满意的第二季度交付数据的势头前行,但伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉在接受CNBC采访时指出,在6月季度销售下跌9%的基础上,同比下降了5%。

$TSLA analyst Toni Sacconaghi on shares of the EV maker:
"We could continue to see some momentum in the stock, but this is meme-like, quite frankly. The valuation is disconnected from the fundamentals." pic.twitter.com/5d85RK2JGa

— Squawk Box (@SquawkCNBC) July 8, 2024

$TSLA分析师托尼·萨科纳吉(Toni Sacconaghi)对电动汽车制造商的股票的看法:
“我们可能会继续看到股价的一些上涨,但这很像模因,坦率地说。股票的估值与公司的基本面脱节了。” pic.twitter.com/5d85RK2JGa

— CNBC(@SquawkCNBC)2024年7月8日

The stock is trading at 125 times earnings, the analyst said, adding that there is anticipation things may get a little better but  they are still not good. The analyst sees the momentum continuing into the robotaxi event scheduled for Aug. 8.

该股票的市盈率为125倍,分析师称,虽然有预期事情可能会稍微好一些,但仍然不是很好。分析师认为这种势头会持续到8月8日预定的无人驾驶出租车活动。

"This is meme-like quite frankly. The valuation is disconnected from the fundamentals," Sacconaghi said. The stock is supposed to earn $7 in earnings this year but consensus estimates are now $2, he added.

“实际上这很像模因。估值与公司的基本面脱节了,”萨科纳吉说。他补充说,股票预计今年将获得7美元的收益,但共识估计现在是2美元。

"It's really about enthusiasm that things may get better and that Tesla may say something really exciting at its robotaxi announcement."

“这主要是因为热情,即人们可能会觉得情况会变得更好,特斯拉在其出租车发布会上可能会发布令人兴奋的消息。”

"But at the end of the day, stocks get measured on cash flows and future cash flows and we just see a disconnect between what that earnings and cash flow of power is in the company's current share price."

“但归根结底,股票的衡量标准是现金流和未来现金流,我们只看到该公司当前股价中该收益和现金流的脱节。”

Why It's Important: Tesla shares have come back strongly from an extended lean patch amid expectations that the auto business' fundamentals may have bottomed out and confidence in some of its ancillary businesses.

为什么它很重要:特斯拉股票在一段时间的低迷期后强势反弹,预计汽车业务的基本面可能已经触底,并对其某些附属业务充满信心。

The second-quarter outperformance relative to estimates was achieved on the back of easy financing options made available to buyers. It remains to be seen if delivery growth will resume in the coming quarters.

第二季度相对于估计表现出色,得益于为买家提供了易融资选项。目前还不清楚交付增长是否会在未来几个季度恢复。

Future Fund's Gary Black said over the weekend that Tesla should separately report metrics for its AI & robotics business in order for portfolio managers to include the business in their valuation models. Tesla bull Cathie Wood-run Ark Invest's new valuation framework announced last month shows the bulk of revenue, EBITDA, and valuation coming from the robotaxi business.

Future Fund的Gary Black上周末表示,特斯拉应该分别报告其AI和机器人业务的指标,以便投资组合经理将其业务纳入其估值模型之中。由Cathie Wood创办的牛市投资管理公司Ark Invest于上个月宣布的新估值框架显示,机器人出租车业务占据了大部分营业收入、息税折旧摊销前利润和估值。

Tesla ended Monday's session up 0.56% at $252.94, according to Benzinga Pro data. Since June 25, when the recent rally began, the stock has gained 38.5%. It is up 1.8% so far this year.

据Benzinga Pro数据,特斯拉周一收盘涨0.56%,收于252.94美元。自6月25日牛市开始以来,该股已上涨38.5%。今年迄今为止,涨幅为1.8%。

Check out more of Benzinga's Future Of Mobility coverage by following this link.

通过以下链接查看更多财经新闻《Benzinga智库:移动出行未来》

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  • 特斯拉牛市表示,该公司全自动驾驶(FSD)收入接近10亿美元的年运行率,并敦促分离AI和机器人数字数据。

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