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Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (NYSE:WAB) A Risky Investment?

Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (NYSE:WAB) A Risky Investment?

美国西屋制动科技公司(NYSE:WAB)是否是一项有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 08:47

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (NYSE:WAB) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

正如David Iben所说,“波动性并非我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险程度时,往往会关注它的债务使用情况,因为过重的债务负担会导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,美国西屋制动科技公司 (NYSE: WAB)在借入资本方面积极行动,但更重要的问题是:这些借入资本所带来的风险有多大?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

总的来说,当一家公司无法轻易偿还债务时,即使通过筹集资本或使用自己的现金流来偿还债务,负债也只会成为一个真正的问题。如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有。虽然这种情况不太常见,但我们经常会看到负债累累的公司因为债权人迫使它们以低迷价格筹集资金,从而永久稀释股东权益。当然,负债的好处是它通常代表了廉价的资本,尤其是当它代替了公司具有高回报率的再投资时。当我们检查负债水平时,我们首先考虑现金和负债水平的综合。

How Much Debt Does Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Carry?

美国西屋制动科技公司承受了多少债务压力?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies had US$4.00b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$634.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.37b.

下图显示,在2024年3月,美国西屋制动科技公司的债务总额达到了40亿美元,与前一年相当。然而,由于公司拥有6,340万美元的现金储备,因此其净债务规模更低,约为33.7亿美元。

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NYSE:WAB Debt to Equity History July 11th 2024
NYSE:WAB的资产负债历史走势图(2024年7月11日)

How Strong Is Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies' Balance Sheet?

美国西屋制动科技公司的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies had liabilities of US$3.15b due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.09b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$634.0m in cash and US$1.54b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$6.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,美国西屋制动科技公司所面临的到期债务包括一年内到期的31.5亿美元及此后到期的50.9亿美元。相应地,公司拥有6,340万美元的现金和15.4亿美元的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,公司的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出约607亿美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies is worth a massive US$27.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这种赤字并不算太糟糕,因为美国西屋制动科技公司的市值高达277亿美元,所以如果需要,公司很可能能够筹集足够的资金来支持其资产负债表。但显然我们需要仔细审查其是否能够在不经历股权稀释的情况下管理其债务。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

卡比海运的净债务为1.7倍EBITDA,这表明它很好地利用了债务。 同时,EBIT利息覆盖(7.3倍)也证明卡比海运的利润完全足以支付管理费和计息费。此外,卡比海运过去12个月EBIT增长了64%,这种增长将使其更容易处理其债务。通过财务报表,我们确信该公司对债务的运用是明智的。然而,确保公司未来的盈利能力才是最终关键,这将决定卡比海运能否逐渐加强其资产负债表。此外,自由现金流还将帮助我们检查公司的出现的任何偏离预期的现金流。

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.7, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.1 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. It is well worth noting that Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 32% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

美国西屋制动科技公司的债务与息税前利润比为1.7倍,借贷使用得当,且其过去12个月的息税前利润为其利息支出的7.1倍。值得注意的是,美国西屋制动科技公司的息税前利润在过去12个月内增长了32%,这将有助于公司更好地管理其债务。分析债务时,应重点关注资产负债表,但更重要的是未来的收益,这将决定美国西屋制动科技公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您更关注公司的未来,可以查看这份免费报告,了解分析师的利润预测。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 81% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,尽管税收机关可能喜欢盈利,但贷款人只接受冷硬的现金。因此,逻辑上应该考虑实际自由现金流量所匹配的息税前利润占比。过去三年中,美国西屋制动科技公司的自由现金流量价值为其息税前利润的81%,这比我们通常预期的要强。这使公司有能力偿还债务,如果必要的话。令人高兴的是,美国西屋制动科技公司令人信服的利润转化为自由现金流量的能力表明,公司在债务方面不会失去控制,这只是好消息的开头。此外,其息税前利润增长率也非常令人鼓舞。总体而言,我们认为美国西屋制动科技公司的借债程度似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担忧。毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提高股本回报率。毫无疑问,资产负债表是了解债务的最佳方式。但最终,除了资产负债表之外,每家公司还可能存在超出资产负债表的风险。例如,我们在这里发现了1个警告信号,关于美国西屋制动科技公司的潜在投资风险,请您关注。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies that you should be aware of before investing here.

令人高兴的是,美国西屋制动科技公司惊人的息税前利润转化为自由现金流的能力强烈暗示其在债务方面占据优势。而且这只是好消息的开始,因为其息税前利润增长率也非常令人鼓舞。总体而言,我们认为美国西屋制动科技公司的借债程度似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担忧。毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提高股本回报率。毫无疑问,资产负债表是了解债务的最佳方式。但最终,除了资产负债表之外,每家公司还可能存在超出资产负债表的风险。例如,我们在这里发现了1个警告信号,关于美国西屋制动科技公司的潜在投资风险,请您关注。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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