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We Think Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为Quaker Chemical(纽交所:KWR)可以继续控制其债务。
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 13:00

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Quaker Chemical Corporation (NYSE:KWR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯在谈到股价波动时,说得非常好:‘我担心的是永久性损失的可能性……我认识的每一个实际投资者都会担心。’ 当您考虑一个公司的风险程度时,自然要考虑其资产负债表,因为当企业崩溃时,往往涉及债务。重要的是,Quaker Chemical Corporation (NYSE:KWR)确实带着债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否会让公司变得更加冒险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来轻松履行债务义务时,债务和其他负债会对企业构成风险。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,即银行家无情地清算破产的企业。但更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,以便控制债务。当然,负债的好处在于它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它代替公司具有以高回报率重新投资的能力时。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先关注现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Quaker Chemical Carry?

Quaker Chemical承载多少债务?

As you can see below, Quaker Chemical had US$768.2m of debt at March 2024, down from US$940.9m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$195.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$572.4m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,Quaker Chemical负债768.2百万美元,较去年同期的940.9百万美元减少。然而,由于其有1,958百万美元的现金储备,因此净债务较少,约为5,724百万美元。

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NYSE:KWR Debt to Equity History July 11th 2024
NYSE:KWR股本负债比历史数据2024年7月11日

A Look At Quaker Chemical's Liabilities

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看出,Quaker Chemical负有3,502百万美元的一年内到期负债,而超过这个期限的负债为9,724百万美元。之后,它拥有价值1,958百万美元的现金和价值4,400百万美元的应收账款。因此,其负债超过了其现金和(短期的)应收账款的总和,达到了6,868百万美元的规模。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Quaker Chemical had liabilities of US$350.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$972.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$195.8m as well as receivables valued at US$440.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$686.8m.

这里也不算亏损过多,因为Quaker Chemical的价值为2.99亿美元,因此如果需要,可能会筹集到足够的资本来支持其资产负债表。但我们肯定要睁大眼睛,看看是否有迹象表明其债务带来了过多的风险。

This deficit isn't so bad because Quaker Chemical is worth US$2.99b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

Quaker Chemical的净债务是其EBITDA的1.9倍,负担能力非常合理,而其EBIT去年仅覆盖了4.6倍利息开支。虽然这不会给我们带来太多担忧,但这表明利息开支仍然是一个比较重的负担。此外,Quaker Chemical在过去的一年中,将EBIT增长了26%,从而提高了偿还债务的能力。当您分析债务时,肯定要着重关注资产负债表。但最终,企业未来的盈利能力将决定Quaker Chemical是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。

Quaker Chemical's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.9 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.6 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Also relevant is that Quaker Chemical has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 26% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Quaker Chemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最后,一家公司只能用现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。因此,我们必须清楚地看看是否EBIT导致相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,Quaker Chemical记录了价值57%的EBIT的自由现金流,这在正常情况下是可以的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税费。这种自由现金流将使公司处于良好的偿付债务的地位。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Quaker Chemical recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Quaker Chemical的EBIT增长率表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo向14岁的门将打进一个进球一样轻松地应对其债务。它从EBIT到自由现金流的转换也很好。综合考虑所有这些因素,Quaker Chemical似乎可以轻松应对其当前的债务水平。另一方面,负债杠杆可以增加股东回报率,但潜在的缺点则是更多的损失风险,因此值得监控该资产负债表。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表以外的风险。例如,我们已经识别出Quaker Chemical的1个警告标志需要您注意。

Our View

我们的观点

Quaker Chemical's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is good too. All these things considered, it appears that Quaker Chemical can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Quaker Chemical that you should be aware of.

昆泰化工的EBIt增长速度表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo一样轻松处理其债务,就像他可以进一个14岁以下门将的球门一样。它的EBIt转换为自由现金流也不错。综合考虑所有这些因素,昆泰化工似乎可以轻松处理当前的债务水平。从正面看,这种杠杆作用可以提高股东回报率,但潜在的缺陷是更高的亏损风险,因此值得关注资产负债表。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每个公司都可能包含超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如,我们已经发现昆泰化工的1个警告信号,您应该注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

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